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Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Unia Swarzedz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chemik Bydgoszcz host Unia Swarzedz in the III Liga - Group II. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Unia Swarzedz have shipped 1.41 goals a game lately, while Chemik Bydgoszcz have conceded 1.86 and scored 1.66. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 2.06) point toward Unia Swarzedz. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Chemik Bydgoszcz
35%
Draws
35%
Unia Swarzedz
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Unia Swarzedz lately — more wins on the board than Chemik Bydgoszcz.
  • Win probability leans Unia Swarzedz's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Chemik Bydgoszcz Clean Sheet 10%
Unia Swarzedz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chemik Bydgoszcz Unia Swarzedz
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 16
Draws 8 4
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.66 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chemik Bydgoszcz 22 / 100
Unia Swarzedz 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chemik Bydgoszcz Unia Swarzedz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Unia Swarzedz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chemik Bydgoszcz's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Unia Swarzedz has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Chemik Bydgoszcz stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Unia Swarzedz registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chemik Bydgoszcz VS Unia Swarzedz
1.38 Goals Scored 2.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Chemik Bydgoszcz

(Home)
10 Oct
Chemik Bydgoszcz
2 : 3
Gedania Gdansk
03 Oct
Lipno Steszew
0 : 1
Chemik Bydgoszcz
26 Sept
Chemik Bydgoszcz
3 : 3
Blekitni Stargard
19 Sept
Chemik Bydgoszcz
1 : 1
KKS Kalisz
12 Sept
Victoria Wrzesnia
2 : 2
Chemik Bydgoszcz
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Unia Swarzedz

(Away)
10 Oct
Baltyk Koszalin
1 : 1
Unia Swarzedz
03 Oct
Unia Swarzedz
7 : 0
Kotwica Kornik
26 Sept
Swinoujscie
0 : 2
Unia Swarzedz
19 Sept
Unia Swarzedz
1 : 3
Luzino
11 Sept
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
4 : 3
Unia Swarzedz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 12 9 3 0 35:16 30
2 Luzino 12 9 1 2 34:13 28
3 Kluczevia Stargard 11 6 1 4 19:18 19
4 Blekitni Stargard 12 5 3 4 30:23 18
5 Lech Poznan II 10 5 3 2 21:17 18
6 Wda Swiecie 11 5 3 3 15:17 18
7 Notec Czarnkow 12 5 2 5 19:16 17
8 KKS Kalisz 12 4 5 3 18:19 17
9 Baltyk Koszalin 12 4 4 4 16:16 16
10 Unia Swarzedz 12 4 2 6 21:20 14
11 Gedania Gdansk 12 3 5 4 26:26 14
12 Swinoujscie 12 4 2 6 15:21 14
13 Grom Nowy Staw 12 4 1 7 28:29 13
14 Elana Torun 12 3 4 5 17:22 13
15 Chemik Bydgoszcz 12 2 6 4 19:24 12
16 Victoria Wrzesnia 12 2 5 5 12:23 11
17 Kotwica Kornik 12 3 2 7 19:33 11
18 Lipno Steszew 12 2 2 8 15:26 8
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)