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Chemik Police vs Nielba Wagrowiec

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Kubinski J.
23' Event
Trojanowski M.
34' Event
Trojanowski M.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II 2020/2021 game between Chemik Police and Nielba Wagrowiec finished 2-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nielba Wagrowiec.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Chemik Police
17%
Draws
70%
Nielba Wagrowiec
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Nielba Wagrowiec

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nielba Wagrowiec come out ahead of Chemik Police on wins alone.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Nielba Wagrowiec taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Chemik Police Clean Sheet 10%
Nielba Wagrowiec Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chemik Police Nielba Wagrowiec
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 9
Draws 5 7
Losses 21 15
Goals Scored 1.75 2.63
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2021 III Liga - Group II
Chemik Police vs Nielba Wagrowiec
2:6
Sep 12, 2020 III Liga - Group II
Nielba Wagrowiec vs Chemik Police
2:0
Apr 22, 2020 III Liga - Group II
Nielba Wagrowiec vs Chemik Police
0:0
Sep 14, 2019 III Liga - Group II
Chemik Police vs Nielba Wagrowiec
2:0
Nov 8, 2008 Division 2 - West
Nielba Wagrowiec vs Chemik Police
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chemik Police Compare

Top Goalscorer Drumlak D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chyrek M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Nielba Wagrowiec Compare

Top Goalscorer Trojanowski M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kubinski J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chemik Police 14 / 100
Nielba Wagrowiec 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chemik Police Nielba Wagrowiec

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NIE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Nielba Wagrowiec conceded in 87% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Chemik Police has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Nielba Wagrowiec registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chemik Police VS Nielba Wagrowiec
1.75 Goals Scored 2.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%