Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chemnitzer II vs Fortuna Chemnitz

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Chemnitzer II
15%
Draws
51%
Fortuna Chemnitz
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fortuna Chemnitz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Fortuna Chemnitz haven't matched Chemnitzer II's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Chemnitzer II a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Chemnitzer II Clean Sheet 20%
Fortuna Chemnitz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chemnitzer II Fortuna Chemnitz
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 10 8
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.5 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.44 2.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2013 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Fortuna Chemnitz vs Chemnitzer II
2:5
Mar 24, 2013 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Chemnitzer II vs Fortuna Chemnitz
1:1
Mar 4, 2012 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Fortuna Chemnitz vs Chemnitzer II
2:2
Sep 10, 2011 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Chemnitzer II vs Fortuna Chemnitz
3:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chemnitzer II 36 / 100
Fortuna Chemnitz 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chemnitzer II Fortuna Chemnitz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Fortuna Chemnitz conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Fortuna Chemnitz's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Chemnitzer II's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Chemnitzer II VS -
2.13 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Chemnitzer II

(Home)
14 Jun
Halle
3 : 0
Chemnitzer II
07 Jun
Chemnitzer II
1 : 1
Jena II
24 May
Cottbus II
2 : 0
Chemnitzer II
16 May
Aue II
0 : 2
Chemnitzer II
10 May
Chemnitzer II
0 : 4
RB Leipzig II
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Fortuna Chemnitz

(Away)
09 Jun
Aue II
5 : 1
Fortuna Chemnitz
05 Jun
Fortuna Chemnitz
2 : 5
Chemnitzer II
25 May
Fortuna Chemnitz
3 : 4
Hallescher II
18 May
Gotha
1 : 2
Fortuna Chemnitz
15 May
Fortuna Chemnitz
2 : 1
Laubsdorf
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wacker Nordhausen 30 20 7 3 60:22 67
2 Bautzen 30 18 7 5 66:27 61
3 Markranstadt 30 15 12 3 61:23 57
4 Hallescher II 30 17 5 8 64:38 56
5 Dresden II 30 14 12 4 45:22 54
6 Jena II 30 13 5 12 50:42 44
7 Heidenauer 30 11 10 9 47:45 43
8 Halle 30 11 10 9 39:46 43
9 Chemnitzer II 30 9 10 11 42:45 37
10 Piesteritz 30 10 7 13 43:58 37
11 Einheit Rudolstadt 30 10 6 14 30:41 36
12 Erfurt II 30 10 3 17 37:53 33
13 Aue II 30 9 5 16 49:50 32
14 Fortuna Chemnitz 30 7 8 15 36:69 29
15 Gotha 30 5 4 21 29:74 19
16 Laubsdorf 30 3 5 22 22:65 14
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2013/2014 (Main)