Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chemnitzer vs Aue

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Nordost
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Baumgart T.
(Penalty)
41' Event
Baumgart T.
53' Event
Bar M.

AI Match Summary

Chemnitzer in this Regionalliga Nordost matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chemnitzer.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Chemnitzer
30%
Draws
37%
Aue
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aue

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Chemnitzer have won more games recently than Aue.
  • Chemnitzer are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Regionalliga Nordost form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Chemnitzer Clean Sheet 20%
Aue Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chemnitzer Aue
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 17 13
Draws 5 7
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 2.14 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Chemnitzer vs Aue
3:1
Apr 24, 2016 3. Liga
Aue vs Chemnitzer
2:0
Nov 7, 2015 3. Liga
Chemnitzer vs Aue
1:2
Apr 12, 2003 Regionalliga North
Aue vs Chemnitzer
3:0
Sep 21, 2002 Regionalliga North
Chemnitzer vs Aue
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chemnitzer Compare

Top Goalscorer Baumgart T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fesser M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Aue Compare

Top Goalscorer Bar M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chemnitzer 58 / 100
Aue 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chemnitzer Aue

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chemnitzer Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chemnitzer's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Aue conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Chemnitzer went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chemnitzer VS Aue
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Chemnitzer

(Home)
26 Sept
Rsv Eintracht
0 : 4
Chemnitzer
20 Sept
Chemie Leipzig
1 : 3
Chemnitzer
16 Sept
Chemnitzer
0 : 1
Babelsberg
11 Sept
Altglienicke
0 : 2
Chemnitzer
28 Aug
Chemnitzer
1 : 1
Jena
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Aue

(Away)
19 Sept
Erfurt
2 : 2
Aue
16 Sept
Magdeburg II
1 : 2
Aue
12 Sept
Aue
2 : 1
Luckenwalde
30 Aug
Lokomotive Leipzig
1 : 2
Aue
26 Aug
Aue
0 : 0
Hertha Berlin II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Erfurt 10 7 3 0 32:8 24
2 Chemnitzer 10 7 2 1 21:5 23
3 BFC Dynamo 11 6 3 2 20:12 21
4 Altglienicke 11 6 3 2 20:14 21
5 Aue 10 6 3 1 19:14 21
6 Jena 11 6 1 4 19:10 19
7 Hallescher 10 5 4 1 15:7 19
8 Greifswalder FC 11 5 4 2 23:16 19
9 Lokomotive Leipzig 10 4 3 3 20:19 15
10 Zwickau 10 4 2 4 12:16 14
11 Magdeburg II 11 4 1 6 20:23 13
12 BFC Preussen 10 2 4 4 12:14 10
13 Babelsberg 10 2 3 5 11:15 9
14 Hertha Berlin II 10 2 2 6 8:20 8
15 Chemie Leipzig 10 1 3 6 10:16 6
16 Rsv Eintracht 10 1 3 6 13:25 6
17 SV Tasmania Berlin 11 1 2 8 13:36 5
18 Luckenwalde 10 1 0 9 7:25 3
Promotion - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)