Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chemnitzer vs Babelsberg

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Nordost
Our Tip

Match Events

86' Event
Okpalaike J.

AI Match Summary

Babelsberg in this Regionalliga Nordost matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Babelsberg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Chemnitzer
20%
Draws
23%
Babelsberg
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chemnitzer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Babelsberg haven't matched Chemnitzer's recent run of results.
  • Chemnitzer are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Chemnitzer Clean Sheet 20%
Babelsberg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chemnitzer Babelsberg
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 16 11
Draws 5 6
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 2 2.17
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Chemnitzer vs Babelsberg
0:1
Feb 27, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Chemnitzer vs Babelsberg
5:1
Sep 13, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Babelsberg vs Chemnitzer
0:1
Mar 11, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Babelsberg vs Chemnitzer
0:0
Aug 25, 2024 Regionalliga Nordost
Chemnitzer vs Babelsberg
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chemnitzer Compare

Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Babelsberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Okpalaike J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chemnitzer 76 / 100
Babelsberg 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chemnitzer Babelsberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chemnitzer Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Chemnitzer scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Babelsberg conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Chemnitzer stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chemnitzer VS Babelsberg
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Chemnitzer

(Home)
16 Sept
Chemnitzer
0 : 1
Babelsberg
11 Sept
Altglienicke
0 : 2
Chemnitzer
28 Aug
Chemnitzer
1 : 1
Jena
25 Aug
Lokomotive Leipzig
0 : 2
Chemnitzer
15 Aug
Chemnitzer
3 : 1
Aue
Page 1 of 6

Babelsberg

(Away)
19 Sept
Babelsberg
0 : 2
Hertha Berlin II
16 Sept
Chemnitzer
0 : 1
Babelsberg
12 Sept
Babelsberg
1 : 1
Hallescher
29 Aug
Zwickau
1 : 0
Babelsberg
26 Aug
Greifswalder FC
2 : 1
Babelsberg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Erfurt 10 7 3 0 32:8 24
2 Chemnitzer 10 7 2 1 21:5 23
3 Aue 10 6 3 1 19:14 21
4 Greifswalder FC 10 5 4 1 23:15 19
5 Hallescher 10 5 4 1 15:7 19
6 BFC Dynamo 10 5 3 2 19:12 18
7 Altglienicke 10 5 3 2 19:14 18
8 Jena 10 5 1 4 14:9 16
9 Lokomotive Leipzig 10 4 3 3 20:19 15
10 Zwickau 10 4 2 4 12:16 14
11 Magdeburg II 10 4 1 5 20:22 13
12 BFC Preussen 10 2 4 4 12:14 10
13 Babelsberg 10 2 3 5 11:15 9
14 Hertha Berlin II 10 2 2 6 8:20 8
15 Chemie Leipzig 10 1 3 6 10:16 6
16 Rsv Eintracht 10 1 3 6 13:25 6
17 SV Tasmania Berlin 10 1 2 7 12:31 5
18 Luckenwalde 10 1 0 9 7:25 3
Promotion - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)