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Chemnitzer vs Greifswalder FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Nordost
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chemnitzer host Greifswalder FC in the Regionalliga Nordost. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Chemnitzer have averaged 2.24 scored and 1.03 conceded recently, against Greifswalder FC's 2.1 scored and 1.43 conceded. Past meetings favor Chemnitzer slightly — 1-0-4 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Dec 6, 2025, ending 0:0. xG projections (2.06 - 1.25) back Chemnitzer to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Chemnitzer
20%
Draws
23%
Greifswalder FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chemnitzer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Chemnitzer lately — more wins on the board than Greifswalder FC.
  • Model gives Chemnitzer a 57% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Chemnitzer Clean Sheet 19%
Greifswalder FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chemnitzer Greifswalder FC
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 18 12
Draws 6 10
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 2.24 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 6, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Greifswalder FC vs Chemnitzer
0:0
Jul 27, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Chemnitzer vs Greifswalder FC
1:0
Mar 29, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Chemnitzer vs Greifswalder FC
2:2
Sep 28, 2024 Regionalliga Nordost
Greifswalder FC vs Chemnitzer
1:1
Feb 3, 2024 Regionalliga Nordost
Greifswalder FC vs Chemnitzer
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chemnitzer 85 / 100
Greifswalder FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chemnitzer Greifswalder FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chemnitzer Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Chemnitzer scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Greifswalder FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Chemnitzer remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Greifswalder FC has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Chemnitzer VS Greifswalder FC
2.25 Goals Scored 1.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Chemnitzer

(Home)
01 Nov
SV Tasmania Berlin
3 : 4
Chemnitzer
24 Oct
Chemnitzer
1 : 2
Magdeburg II
18 Oct
BFC Dynamo
1 : 1
Chemnitzer
11 Oct
Chemnitzer
3 : 1
Erfurt
30 Sept
Chemnitzer
4 : 0
Rabenstein
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Greifswalder FC

(Away)
01 Nov
Greifswalder FC
1 : 1
Chemie Leipzig
24 Oct
Greifswalder FC
2 : 3
Erfurt
18 Oct
Magdeburg II
4 : 2
Greifswalder FC
11 Oct
Greifswalder FC
1 : 0
Aue
25 Sept
BFC Dynamo
1 : 0
Greifswalder FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Erfurt 15 10 4 1 46:19 34
2 Chemnitzer 15 10 3 2 34:12 33
3 Hallescher 15 8 6 1 23:12 30
4 BFC Dynamo 15 8 5 2 24:13 29
5 Altglienicke 15 8 3 4 27:20 27
6 Aue 15 8 3 4 24:18 27
7 Jena 15 8 2 5 23:13 26
8 Greifswalder FC 15 6 5 4 29:24 23
9 Lokomotive Leipzig 15 5 6 4 30:28 21
10 Magdeburg II 15 6 2 7 28:29 20
11 Zwickau 15 5 4 6 17:25 19
12 Babelsberg 15 4 4 7 16:27 16
13 BFC Preussen 15 3 5 7 19:22 14
14 Chemie Leipzig 15 3 5 7 18:23 14
15 Hertha Berlin II 15 2 5 8 11:26 11
16 SV Tasmania Berlin 15 3 2 10 24:43 11
17 Rsv Eintracht 15 2 3 10 15:34 9
18 Luckenwalde 15 2 1 12 15:35 7
Promotion - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)