Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chemnitzer vs Jena

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Nordost
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Munser E.
45'
Eshele M.
90'
Reddemann S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Regionalliga Nordost matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Chemnitzer
15%
Draws
40%
Jena
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chemnitzer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Jena have won more games recently than Chemnitzer.
  • Model gives Chemnitzer a 45% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Chemnitzer Clean Sheet 20%
Jena Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chemnitzer Jena
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 18 19
Draws 6 3
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 2.03 2.4
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Chemnitzer vs Jena
1:1
Mar 22, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Chemnitzer vs Jena
4:1
Sep 27, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Jena vs Chemnitzer
2:0
Feb 8, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Chemnitzer vs Jena
1:2
Aug 21, 2024 Regionalliga Nordost
Jena vs Chemnitzer
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chemnitzer Compare

Top Goalscorer Vogt D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Jena Compare

Top Goalscorer Munser E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chemnitzer 76 / 100
Jena 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chemnitzer Jena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chemnitzer Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chemnitzer's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Chemnitzer has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Jena has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chemnitzer VS Jena
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Chemnitzer

(Home)
20 Sept
Chemie Leipzig
1 : 3
Chemnitzer
16 Sept
Chemnitzer
0 : 1
Babelsberg
11 Sept
Altglienicke
0 : 2
Chemnitzer
28 Aug
Chemnitzer
1 : 1
Jena
25 Aug
Lokomotive Leipzig
0 : 2
Chemnitzer
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Jena

(Away)
25 Sept
SV Tasmania Berlin
1 : 5
Jena
20 Sept
Jena
1 : 2
Lokomotive Leipzig
15 Sept
Hallescher
2 : 0
Jena
12 Sept
Jena
3 : 0
Hertha Berlin II
02 Sept
Jena
1 : 0
Altglienicke
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Erfurt 10 7 3 0 32:8 24
2 Chemnitzer 10 7 2 1 21:5 23
3 BFC Dynamo 11 6 3 2 20:12 21
4 Altglienicke 11 6 3 2 20:14 21
5 Aue 10 6 3 1 19:14 21
6 Jena 11 6 1 4 19:10 19
7 Hallescher 10 5 4 1 15:7 19
8 Greifswalder FC 11 5 4 2 23:16 19
9 Lokomotive Leipzig 10 4 3 3 20:19 15
10 Zwickau 10 4 2 4 12:16 14
11 Magdeburg II 11 4 1 6 20:23 13
12 BFC Preussen 10 2 4 4 12:14 10
13 Babelsberg 10 2 3 5 11:15 9
14 Hertha Berlin II 10 2 2 6 8:20 8
15 Chemie Leipzig 10 1 3 6 10:16 6
16 Rsv Eintracht 10 1 3 6 13:25 6
17 SV Tasmania Berlin 11 1 2 8 13:36 5
18 Luckenwalde 10 1 0 9 7:25 3
Promotion - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)