Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chemnitzer vs Jena

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Oduah E.
44'
Hehne M.
45' Event
Bozic D.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026 game between Chemnitzer and Jena finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chemnitzer.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Chemnitzer
30%
Draws
27%
Jena
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chemnitzer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Jena haven't matched Chemnitzer's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Chemnitzer a 43% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Chemnitzer Clean Sheet 20%
Jena Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chemnitzer Jena
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 17 16
Draws 7 4
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 2.2 2.24
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Chemnitzer vs Jena
1:1
Mar 22, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Chemnitzer vs Jena
4:1
Sep 27, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Jena vs Chemnitzer
2:0
Feb 8, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Chemnitzer vs Jena
1:2
Aug 21, 2024 Regionalliga Nordost
Jena vs Chemnitzer
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chemnitzer Compare

Top Goalscorer Baumgart T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Stockinger T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Jena Compare

Top Goalscorer Oduah E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chemnitzer 40 / 100
Jena 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chemnitzer Jena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chemnitzer Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chemnitzer found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (30 games).

Chemnitzer has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Jena conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Chemnitzer VS Jena
2.63 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Chemnitzer

(Home)
28 Aug
Chemnitzer
1 : 1
Jena
25 Aug
Lokomotive Leipzig
0 : 2
Chemnitzer
15 Aug
Chemnitzer
3 : 1
Aue
09 Aug
Hallescher
0 : 0
Chemnitzer
04 Aug
Chemnitzer
3 : 1
Zwickau
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Jena

(Away)
28 Aug
Chemnitzer
1 : 1
Jena
23 Aug
Jena
1 : 2
Darmstadt
14 Aug
Chemie Leipzig
0 : 1
Jena
09 Aug
Jena
1 : 2
Erfurt
04 Aug
Jena
4 : 0
Rsv Eintracht
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lokomotive Leipzig 34 23 3 8 65:30 72
2 Jena 34 22 6 6 65:35 72
3 Zwickau 34 19 7 8 52:44 64
4 Hallescher 34 19 6 9 63:36 63
5 Erfurt 34 17 10 7 68:47 61
6 Altglienicke 34 14 11 9 50:40 53
7 Chemnitzer 34 14 9 11 56:52 51
8 BFC Preussen 34 14 8 12 50:55 50
9 Magdeburg II 34 15 4 15 61:55 49
10 Luckenwalde 34 11 10 13 36:45 43
11 Babelsberg 34 11 8 15 67:65 41
12 BFC Dynamo 34 10 10 14 45:50 40
13 Chemie Leipzig 34 12 4 18 43:49 40
14 Hertha Berlin II 34 11 7 16 46:60 40
15 Greifswalder FC 34 9 11 14 40:45 38
16 Meuselwitz 34 8 9 17 44:61 33
17 Eilenburg 34 4 11 19 35:68 23
18 Hertha Zehlendorf 34 2 8 24 30:79 14
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)