Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cheng Fung vs Shao Jiang

Macao Macao

Elite League 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
McArthur M.
38' Event
Medina W.
45' Event
Ilan

AI Match Summary

The Elite League 2025 game between Cheng Fung and Shao Jiang finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shao Jiang.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Cheng Fung
6%
Draws
90%
Shao Jiang
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Shao Jiang

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Shao Jiang carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Shao Jiang a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Shao Jiang have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Cheng Fung Clean Sheet 10%
Shao Jiang Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cheng Fung Shao Jiang
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 25
Draws 8 2
Losses 13 2
Goals Scored 2 5.5
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 5.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Elite League
Cheng Fung vs Shao Jiang
0:4
Apr 19, 2026 Elite League
Shao Jiang vs Cheng Fung
2:1
Jul 5, 2025 Elite League
Cheng Fung vs Shao Jiang
0:5
May 25, 2025 Elite League
Shao Jiang vs Cheng Fung
4:0
Feb 28, 2025 Elite League
Cheng Fung vs Shao Jiang
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cheng Fung Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Shao Jiang Compare

Top Goalscorer Medina W.
2 Goals
Assists Leader McArthur M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 5
Avg xA / game 3.06

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cheng Fung 10 / 100
Shao Jiang 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cheng Fung Shao Jiang

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SHA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:5
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Cheng Fung scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Shao Jiang's defensive record shows goals conceded in 48% of 29 matches.

Cheng Fung has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cheng Fung VS Shao Jiang
2 Goals Scored 5.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Cheng Fung

(Home)
18 Jul
Cheng Fung
0 : 4
Shao Jiang
11 Jul
Cheng Fung
1 : 6
Must IPO
05 Jul
Chiba
1 : 1
Cheng Fung
27 Jun
Cheng Fung
1 : 4
Gala
20 Jun
Cheng Fung
4 : 4
G. Universe
Page 1 of 6

Shao Jiang

(Away)
18 Jul
Cheng Fung
0 : 4
Shao Jiang
10 Jul
Benfica
2 : 4
Shao Jiang
03 Jul
Shao Jiang
14 : 0
Artilheiros
26 Jun
Hang Sai
2 : 5
Shao Jiang
20 Jun
Shao Jiang
6 : 0
University of Macau
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Must IPO17142178:1044
2Shao Jiang17141264:1343
3University of Macau1782733:3226
4Benfica1781831:2825
5Cheng Fung1755722:4220
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)