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Chengdu Rongcheng B vs Changchun Xidu

China China

League Two 2025 Chengdu Phoenix Hill Sports Park
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chengdu Rongcheng B play Changchun Xidu in the League Two 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Chengdu Rongcheng B averaged 0.38 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Changchun Xidu averaged 0.25 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. In past meetings, Chengdu Rongcheng B won 1, Changchun Xidu won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Oct 26, 2025 ended 4:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.75 for Chengdu Rongcheng B and 0.88 for Changchun Xidu. This points to a Chengdu Rongcheng B double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Chengdu Rongcheng B
40%
Draws
29%
Changchun Xidu
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Chengdu Rongcheng B has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Changchun Xidu.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 40% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in League Two 2025 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Chengdu Rongcheng B Clean Sheet 20%
Changchun Xidu Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chengdu Rongcheng B Changchun Xidu
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 2
Draws 10 16
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 0.38 0.25
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2025 League Two
Chengdu Rongcheng B vs Changchun Xidu
4:2
Sep 21, 2025 League Two
Changchun Xidu vs Chengdu Rongcheng B
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chengdu Rongcheng B Compare

Top Goalscorer Qeyser Ezimet
2 Goals
Assists Leader Liu Guangwu
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Changchun Xidu Compare

Top Goalscorer Memet Nuryasin
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.23
Avg xA / game 0.14

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chengdu Rongcheng B 32 / 100
Changchun Xidu 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chengdu Rongcheng B Changchun Xidu

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chengdu Rongcheng B scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Changchun Xidu let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Chengdu Rongcheng B went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Changchun Xidu lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chengdu Rongcheng B VS Changchun Xidu
0.38 Goals Scored 0.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Guangxi Hengchen30234362:1773
2Wuxi Wugou30197442:1864
3Shenzhen 202830167736:2655
4Chengdu Rongcheng B30149748:2751
5Guizhou Guiyang301551039:3450
6Nantong Haimen301310752:3449
7Shandong Taishan B301212643:2748
8Changchun Xidu301011924:2841