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Chengdu Rongcheng B vs Jiangxi Lushan Prediction & H2H Stats

China China

League Two Chengdu Phoenix Hill Sports Park, Chengdu
Our Tip

Match Events

38'
Sub
Wang Ziteng In: Qin Wanzhun
Out: Wang Ziteng
46'
Sub
Yao Zixuan In: Shuai Weihao
Out: Yao Zixuan
46'
Sub
Zhu X. In: Zhou Jingxiang
Out: Zhu X.

AI Match Summary

Jiangxi Lushan in this League Two matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jiangxi Lushan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Chengdu Rongcheng B
30%
Draws
42%
Jiangxi Lushan
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Jiangxi Lushan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Jiangxi Lushan lately — more wins on the board than Chengdu Rongcheng B.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Chengdu Rongcheng B taking it.
  • Regular League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 27%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Chengdu Rongcheng B Clean Sheet 20%
Jiangxi Lushan Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chengdu Rongcheng B Jiangxi Lushan
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 6 14
Draws 12 7
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 0.9 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 League Two
Chengdu Rongcheng B vs Jiangxi Lushan
0:1
Jun 13, 2026 League Two
Jiangxi Lushan vs Chengdu Rongcheng B
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chengdu Rongcheng B Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Jiangxi Lushan Compare

Top Goalscorer Yang Pengju
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chengdu Rongcheng B 36 / 100
Jiangxi Lushan 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chengdu Rongcheng B Jiangxi Lushan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jiangxi Lushan has conceded goals in 61% of their last 31 outings.

Solid form: Chengdu Rongcheng B remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Chengdu Rongcheng B's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Chengdu Rongcheng B VS Jiangxi Lushan
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Chengdu Rongcheng B

(Home)
19 Sept
Chengdu Rongcheng B
1 : 1
Taian Tiankuang
12 Sept
Nantong Haimen
1 : 1
Chengdu Rongcheng B
23 Aug
Chengdu Rongcheng B
0 : 1
Jiangxi Lushan
16 Aug
Guizhou Guiyang
0 : 0
Chengdu Rongcheng B
08 Aug
Chengdu Rongcheng B
3 : 2
Hubei Istar
Page 1 of 6

Jiangxi Lushan

(Away)
18 Sept
Jiangxi Lushan
2 : 1
Shandong Taishan B
12 Sept
Shanghai Port B
1 : 0
Jiangxi Lushan
23 Aug
Chengdu Rongcheng B
0 : 1
Jiangxi Lushan
16 Aug
Jiangxi Lushan
0 : 2
Xiamen Feilu
08 Aug
Wuhan Three Towns B
0 : 2
Jiangxi Lushan
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shandong Taishan B 22 12 5 5 33:21 41
2 Shanghai Port B 22 12 4 6 36:19 40
3 Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 22 12 4 6 29:17 40
4 Dalian Kewei 22 9 10 3 22:14 37
5 Taian Tiankuang 22 8 7 7 25:23 31
6 Dalian Yingbo B 22 6 10 6 21:22 28
7 Nantong Haimen 22 5 11 6 25:23 26
8 Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 22 4 14 4 13:16 26
9 Qingdao Red Lions 22 5 10 7 22:20 25
10 Changchun Xidu 22 3 11 8 15:28 20
11 Beijing Technology 22 3 7 12 21:42 16
12 Shanghai Second 22 2 9 11 22:39 15
Promotion - League Two (Promotion Group)
Relegation - League Two (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guizhou Guiyang 22 13 3 6 32:17 42
2 Shenzhen 2028 22 10 7 5 37:25 37
3 Jiangxi Lushan 22 10 5 7 25:19 35
4 Hangzhou Linping 22 8 10 4 25:28 34
5 Hubei Istar 22 9 7 6 29:23 34
6 Xiamen Feilu 22 7 8 7 29:28 29
7 Guangdong Mingtu 22 5 11 6 22:20 26
8 Ganzhou Ruishi 22 6 8 8 19:32 26
9 Guangzhou Dandelion 22 6 7 9 22:28 25
10 Chengdu Rongcheng B 22 5 7 10 18:24 22
11 Wenzhou Professional 22 4 10 8 15:23 22
12 Wuhan Three Towns B 22 4 7 11 20:26 19
Promotion - League Two (Promotion Group)
Relegation - League Two (Relegation Group)