Sport Picks
Chengdu Rongcheng vs Beijing Guoan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
China
Super League Chengdu Phoenix Hill Sports Park, Chengdu 
Match Events
46'
46'
Sub
Matheus Jussa In: Iminqari M.
Out: Matheus Jussa
46'
46'
Sub
Spajic U. In: Chi Zhongguo
Out: Spajic U.
46'
46'
Sub
Deng Jiefu In: Cao Yongjing
Out: Deng Jiefu
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
30%
43%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Beijing Guoan
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Chengdu Rongcheng lately — more wins on the board than Beijing Guoan.
- Win probability leans Beijing Guoan's way, sitting at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Chengdu Rongcheng Clean Sheet 10%
Beijing Guoan Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chengdu Rongcheng | Beijing Guoan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 15 |
| Draws | 7 | 10 |
| Losses | 6 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 2.07 | 2.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 2.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 26, 2026 Super League
Chengdu Rongcheng vs Beijing Guoan
2:2
Apr 12, 2026 Super League
Beijing Guoan vs Chengdu Rongcheng
1:2
Jul 26, 2025 Super League
Chengdu Rongcheng vs Beijing Guoan
2:0
Mar 29, 2025 Super League
Beijing Guoan vs Chengdu Rongcheng
1:1
Sep 14, 2024 Super League
Chengdu Rongcheng vs Beijing Guoan
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chengdu Rongcheng Compare
Top Goalscorer Felipe Silva
1 Goals Assists Leader Sorokin E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Beijing Guoan Compare
Top Goalscorer Zhang Yuning
2 Goals Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chengdu Rongcheng 18 / 100
Beijing Guoan 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chengdu Rongcheng Beijing Guoan
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Beijing Guoan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chengdu Rongcheng's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Beijing Guoan let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Chengdu Rongcheng stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Chengdu Rongcheng VS Beijing Guoan
1.88 Goals Scored 2.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Chengdu Rongcheng
(Home) 06 Sept
Henan Songshan Longmen
0 : 0 Chengdu Rongcheng
29 Aug
Chengdu Rongcheng
2 : 1 Liaoning Tieren
22 Aug
Chengdu Rongcheng
4 : 5 Shanghai Shenhua
15 Aug
Zhejiang Professional
2 : 3 Chengdu Rongcheng
08 Aug
Yunnan Yukun
1 : 0 Chengdu Rongcheng
Page 1 of 6
29 Aug
Chengdu Rongcheng
2 : 1 Liaoning Tieren
22 Aug
Chengdu Rongcheng
4 : 5 Shanghai Shenhua
01 Aug
Chengdu Rongcheng
1 : 1 Wuhan Three Towns
26 Jul
Chengdu Rongcheng
2 : 2 Beijing Guoan
11 Jul
Chengdu Rongcheng
1 : 1 Chongqing Tonglianglong
Page 1 of 3
Beijing Guoan
(Away) 09 Oct
Qingdao Hainiu
0 : 3 Beijing Guoan
15 Sept
Beijing Guoan
3 : 1 Pohang
05 Sept
Shanghai Port
0 : 0 Beijing Guoan
01 Sept
Beijing Guoan
3 : 1 Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
28 Aug
Dalian Yingbo
1 : 1 Beijing Guoan
Page 1 of 6
09 Oct
Qingdao Hainiu
0 : 3 Beijing Guoan
05 Sept
Shanghai Port
0 : 0 Beijing Guoan
28 Aug
Dalian Yingbo
1 : 1 Beijing Guoan
18 Aug
Shanghai Shenhua
0 : 3 Beijing Guoan
15 Aug
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
2 : 4 Beijing Guoan
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 51:30 | 52 |
| 2 | Beijing Guoan | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 52:33 | 41 |
| 3 | Dalian Yingbo | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 38:42 | 40 |
| 4 | Yunnan Yukun | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 54:51 | 38 |
| 5 | Qingdao West Coast | 26 | 8 | 14 | 4 | 31:32 | 38 |
| 6 | Shandong Taishan | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 46:43 | 37 |
| 7 | Shanghai Port | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 44:35 | 36 |
| 8 | Shanghai Shenhua | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 52:46 | 31 |
| 9 | Zhejiang Professional | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 47:47 | 31 |
| 10 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 27:32 | 31 |
| 11 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 36:47 | 29 |
| 12 | Henan Songshan Longmen | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 35:37 | 28 |
| 13 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 36:32 | 25 |
| 14 | Liaoning Tieren | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 34:47 | 25 |
| 15 | Wuhan Three Towns | 26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 39:46 | 21 |
| 16 | Qingdao Hainiu | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 34:56 | 14 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - League One 2027 (Main)
