Sport Picks
Chengdu Rongcheng vs Beijing Guoan
China
Super League Chengdu Phoenix Hill Sports Park, Chengdu 
Match Events
46'
46'
Sub
Matheus Jussa In: Iminqari M.
Out: Matheus Jussa
46'
46'
Sub
Spajic U. In: Chi Zhongguo
Out: Spajic U.
46'
46'
Sub
Deng Jiefu In: Cao Yongjing
Out: Deng Jiefu
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
39%
30%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Chengdu Rongcheng lately — more wins on the board than Beijing Guoan.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Chengdu Rongcheng Clean Sheet 17%
Beijing Guoan Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chengdu Rongcheng | Beijing Guoan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 14 |
| Draws | 10 | 6 |
| Losses | 8 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.75 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 12, 2026 Super League
Beijing Guoan vs Chengdu Rongcheng
1:2
Jul 26, 2025 Super League
Chengdu Rongcheng vs Beijing Guoan
2:0
Mar 29, 2025 Super League
Beijing Guoan vs Chengdu Rongcheng
1:1
Sep 14, 2024 Super League
Chengdu Rongcheng vs Beijing Guoan
2:2
May 5, 2024 Super League
Beijing Guoan vs Chengdu Rongcheng
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chengdu Rongcheng Compare
Top Goalscorer Felipe Silva
1 Goals Assists Leader Sorokin E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Beijing Guoan Compare
Top Goalscorer Zhang Yuning
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chengdu Rongcheng 31 / 100
Beijing Guoan 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chengdu Rongcheng Beijing Guoan
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick BEI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chengdu Rongcheng's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 34 recent games.
Beijing Guoan let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Chengdu Rongcheng stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Chengdu Rongcheng VS Beijing Guoan
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Chengdu Rongcheng
(Home) 21 Jul
Yunnan Yukun
4 : 3 Chengdu Rongcheng
17 Jul
Qingdao West Coast
1 : 1 Chengdu Rongcheng
11 Jul
Chengdu Rongcheng
1 : 1 Chongqing Tonglianglong
05 Jul
Qingdao Hainiu
1 : 1 Chengdu Rongcheng
27 Jun
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
2 : 3 Chengdu Rongcheng
Page 1 of 7
11 Jul
Chengdu Rongcheng
1 : 1 Chongqing Tonglianglong
30 May
Chengdu Rongcheng
1 : 0 Shandong Taishan
19 May
Chengdu Rongcheng
0 : 1 Shanghai Port
09 May
Chengdu Rongcheng
3 : 0 Henan Songshan Longmen
25 Apr
Chengdu Rongcheng
4 : 0 Zhejiang Professional
Page 1 of 3
Beijing Guoan
(Away) 21 Jul
Dalian Kewei
1 : 2 Beijing Guoan
17 Jul
Beijing Guoan
1 : 1 Liaoning Tieren
04 Jul
Beijing Guoan
2 : 0 Shandong Taishan
27 Jun
Beijing Guoan
1 : 0 Wuhan Three Towns
19 Jun
Guangdong GZ-Power
1 : 2 Beijing Guoan
Page 1 of 6
21 Jul
Dalian Kewei
1 : 2 Beijing Guoan
19 Jun
Guangdong GZ-Power
1 : 2 Beijing Guoan
30 May
Chongqing Tonglianglong
2 : 3 Beijing Guoan
19 May
Qingdao West Coast
1 : 1 Beijing Guoan
02 May
Yunnan Yukun
3 : 3 Beijing Guoan
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 39:18 | 43 |
| 2 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 23:22 | 29 |
| 3 | Dalian Yingbo | 18 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 28:32 | 28 |
| 4 | Qingdao West Coast | 20 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 24:29 | 28 |
| 5 | Yunnan Yukun | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 36:35 | 25 |
| 6 | Shandong Taishan | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 35:34 | 24 |
| 7 | Beijing Guoan | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 30:24 | 22 |
| 8 | Zhejiang Professional | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 27:32 | 21 |
| 9 | Liaoning Tieren | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 25:31 | 21 |
| 10 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 25:33 | 20 |
| 11 | Shanghai Shenhua | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 36:31 | 19 |
| 12 | Shanghai Port | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 30:26 | 19 |
| 13 | Henan Songshan Longmen | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 23:23 | 18 |
| 14 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 26:22 | 14 |
| 15 | Wuhan Three Towns | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 27:34 | 14 |
| 16 | Qingdao Hainiu | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 30:38 | 14 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - League One 2027 (Main)
