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Chengdu Rongcheng vs Liaoning Tieren - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

China China

Super League Chengdu Phoenix Hill Sports Park, Chengdu
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Yan Dinghao
26' Event
Felipe Silva
Assist: Wang Ziming
45'
Kunimoto T.

AI Match Summary

Chengdu Rongcheng in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chengdu Rongcheng.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Chengdu Rongcheng
20%
Draws
10%
Liaoning Tieren
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chengdu Rongcheng

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Chengdu Rongcheng have won more games recently than Liaoning Tieren.
  • Win probability leans Chengdu Rongcheng's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Chengdu Rongcheng have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Chengdu Rongcheng Clean Sheet 13%
Liaoning Tieren Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chengdu Rongcheng Liaoning Tieren
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 16 8
Draws 7 4
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 2.07 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Super League
Chengdu Rongcheng vs Liaoning Tieren
2:1
May 5, 2026 Super League
Liaoning Tieren vs Chengdu Rongcheng
0:1
Aug 6, 2021 League One
Chengdu Rongcheng vs Liaoning Tieren
2:0
Jul 17, 2021 League One
Liaoning Tieren vs Chengdu Rongcheng
0:6
Oct 19, 2019 League Two
Liaoning Tieren vs Chengdu Rongcheng
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chengdu Rongcheng Compare

Top Goalscorer Felipe Silva
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wellington Silva
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Liaoning Tieren Compare

Top Goalscorer Jeffinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chengdu Rongcheng 84 / 100
Liaoning Tieren 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chengdu Rongcheng Liaoning Tieren

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chengdu Rongcheng Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:5
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chengdu Rongcheng scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Liaoning Tieren let in goals in 89% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Chengdu Rongcheng has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chengdu Rongcheng VS Liaoning Tieren
2 Goals Scored 1.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Chengdu Rongcheng

(Home)
06 Sept
Henan Songshan Longmen
0 : 0
Chengdu Rongcheng
29 Aug
Chengdu Rongcheng
2 : 1
Liaoning Tieren
22 Aug
Chengdu Rongcheng
4 : 5
Shanghai Shenhua
15 Aug
Zhejiang Professional
2 : 3
Chengdu Rongcheng
08 Aug
Yunnan Yukun
1 : 0
Chengdu Rongcheng
Page 1 of 6

Liaoning Tieren

(Away)
12 Sept
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
1 : 0
Liaoning Tieren
06 Sept
Yunnan Yukun
5 : 0
Liaoning Tieren
29 Aug
Chengdu Rongcheng
2 : 1
Liaoning Tieren
23 Aug
Liaoning Tieren
4 : 4
Henan Songshan Longmen
15 Aug
Liaoning Tieren
1 : 2
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chengdu Rongcheng 26 15 7 4 51:30 52
2 Beijing Guoan 27 12 10 5 52:33 41
3 Dalian Yingbo 26 12 4 10 38:42 40
4 Yunnan Yukun 26 11 5 10 54:51 38
5 Qingdao West Coast 26 8 14 4 31:32 38
6 Shandong Taishan 26 13 4 9 46:43 37
7 Shanghai Port 27 11 8 8 44:35 36
8 Shanghai Shenhua 26 12 5 9 52:46 31
9 Zhejiang Professional 27 10 6 11 47:47 31
10 Chongqing Tonglianglong 26 7 10 9 27:32 31
11 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 27 8 5 14 36:47 29
12 Henan Songshan Longmen 27 8 10 9 35:37 28
13 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 26 9 8 9 36:32 25
14 Liaoning Tieren 26 7 4 15 34:47 25
15 Wuhan Three Towns 26 5 11 10 39:46 21
16 Qingdao Hainiu 27 6 3 18 34:56 14
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - League One 2027 (Main)