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Chengdu Rongcheng vs Qingdao Hainiu

China China

Super League Chengdu Phoenix Hill Sports Park
Our Tip

Match Events

60'
Yang Ming-Yang
63'
Sub
Abduweli Behram In: Wang Ziming
Out: Abduweli Behram
64'
Sub
Luo Senwen In: Ngan Cheuk-Pan
Out: Luo Senwen

AI Match Summary

Chengdu Rongcheng in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chengdu Rongcheng.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Chengdu Rongcheng
28%
Draws
22%
Qingdao Hainiu
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Chengdu Rongcheng

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Chengdu Rongcheng have won more games recently than Qingdao Hainiu.
  • Win probability leans Chengdu Rongcheng's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Chengdu Rongcheng Clean Sheet 16%
Qingdao Hainiu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chengdu Rongcheng Qingdao Hainiu
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 9
Draws 8 7
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.5 2
Goals Conceded 1 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Super League
Qingdao Hainiu vs Chengdu Rongcheng
1:1
Mar 15, 2026 Super League
Chengdu Rongcheng vs Qingdao Hainiu
1:0
Aug 16, 2025 Super League
Chengdu Rongcheng vs Qingdao Hainiu
0:0
Jul 23, 2025 FA Cup
Qingdao Hainiu vs Chengdu Rongcheng
1:2
Apr 12, 2025 Super League
Qingdao Hainiu vs Chengdu Rongcheng
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chengdu Rongcheng Compare

Top Goalscorer Romulo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Qingdao Hainiu Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chengdu Rongcheng 48 / 100
Qingdao Hainiu 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chengdu Rongcheng Qingdao Hainiu

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Qingdao Hainiu's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 28 matches.

Solid form: Chengdu Rongcheng remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Chengdu Rongcheng found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Chengdu Rongcheng VS Qingdao Hainiu
1.5 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Chengdu Rongcheng18133238:1742
2Chongqing Tonglianglong1877422:2028
3Dalian Yingbo1781825:3125
4Shandong Taishan1893634:3124
5Yunnan Yukun1873834:3324
6Qingdao West Coast1859422:2824
7Beijing Guoan1775529:2321
8Zhejiang Professional1874726:3120
9Liaoning Tieren1762924:2920
10Shenzhen Xinpengcheng18621025:3120
11Shanghai Shenhua1785436:2719
12Shanghai Port1755726:2415
13Henan Songshan Longmen1763818:2215
14Qingdao Hainiu1863929:3114
15Tianjin Jinmen Tiger1746722:228
16Wuhan Three Towns1727824:348