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Chengdu Rongcheng vs Qingdao West Coast

China China

Super League Chengdu Phoenix Hill Sports Park
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Wellington Silva
40' Event
Sorokin E.
45'
Liao Lisheng

AI Match Summary

Chengdu Rongcheng host Qingdao West Coast in the Super League. This one's hard to separate. Chengdu Rongcheng have averaged 1.5 scored and 1 conceded recently, against Qingdao West Coast's 2.13 scored and 1.38 conceded. Head-to-head, Chengdu Rongcheng have won 2 to Qingdao West Coast's 0, with 3 draws. They last met on Apr 3, 2026, ending 5:1. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 1.56) point toward Chengdu Rongcheng. Chengdu Rongcheng in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Chengdu Rongcheng
22%
Draws
18%
Qingdao West Coast
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Chengdu Rongcheng

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Chengdu Rongcheng has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Qingdao West Coast.
  • Model forecasts a 60% win probability edge for Chengdu Rongcheng.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Super League provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Chengdu Rongcheng Clean Sheet 15%
Qingdao West Coast Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chengdu Rongcheng Qingdao West Coast
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 10
Draws 9 11
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 1.5 2.13
Goals Conceded 1 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Super League
Chengdu Rongcheng vs Qingdao West Coast
5:1
Oct 26, 2025 Super League
Qingdao West Coast vs Chengdu Rongcheng
2:2
May 17, 2025 Super League
Chengdu Rongcheng vs Qingdao West Coast
1:1
Oct 27, 2024 Super League
Qingdao West Coast vs Chengdu Rongcheng
1:1
May 26, 2024 Super League
Chengdu Rongcheng vs Qingdao West Coast
7:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chengdu Rongcheng Compare

Top Goalscorer Felipe Silva
2 Goals
Assists Leader Wellington Silva
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Qingdao West Coast Compare

Top Goalscorer Yakubu A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chengdu Rongcheng 57 / 100
Qingdao West Coast 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chengdu Rongcheng Qingdao West Coast

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chengdu Rongcheng scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Qingdao West Coast let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Chengdu Rongcheng went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Qingdao West Coast lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chengdu Rongcheng VS Qingdao West Coast
1.5 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Chengdu Rongcheng18133238:1742
2Chongqing Tonglianglong1877422:2028
3Dalian Yingbo1781825:3125
4Shandong Taishan1893634:3124
5Yunnan Yukun1873834:3324
6Qingdao West Coast1859422:2824
7Beijing Guoan1775529:2321
8Liaoning Tieren1762924:2920
9Shenzhen Xinpengcheng18621025:3120
10Shanghai Shenhua1785436:2719
11Zhejiang Professional1764723:2917
12Shanghai Port1755726:2415
13Henan Songshan Longmen1763818:2215
14Qingdao Hainiu1763827:2814
15Tianjin Jinmen Tiger1746722:228
16Wuhan Three Towns1727824:348