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Chengdu Rongcheng vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

China China

Super League Chengdu Phoenix Hill Sports Park, Chengdu
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Match Events

33'
Sub
Wang Qiuming In: Guilherme Schettine
Out: Wang Qiuming
46'
Sub
Chen Zhexuan In: Huang Jiahui
Out: Chen Zhexuan
68'
Sub
Wang Zhenghao In: Ba Dun
Out: Wang Zhenghao

AI Match Summary

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tianjin Jinmen Tiger.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Chengdu Rongcheng
30%
Draws
37%
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tianjin Jinmen Tiger

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Tianjin Jinmen Tiger haven't matched Chengdu Rongcheng's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Chengdu Rongcheng Clean Sheet 10%
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chengdu Rongcheng Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 16 9
Draws 7 8
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 2.07 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 Super League
Chengdu Rongcheng vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
0:1
May 15, 2026 Super League
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Chengdu Rongcheng
1:2
Jul 18, 2025 Super League
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Chengdu Rongcheng
2:1
Mar 2, 2025 Super League
Chengdu Rongcheng vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
1:2
Jul 12, 2024 Super League
Chengdu Rongcheng vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chengdu Rongcheng Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Compare

Top Goalscorer Quiles A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chengdu Rongcheng 30 / 100
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chengdu Rongcheng Tianjin Jinmen Tiger

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chengdu Rongcheng found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Tianjin Jinmen Tiger conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Chengdu Rongcheng has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chengdu Rongcheng VS Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
2 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chengdu Rongcheng

(Home)
06 Sept
Henan Songshan Longmen
0 : 0
Chengdu Rongcheng
29 Aug
Chengdu Rongcheng
2 : 1
Liaoning Tieren
22 Aug
Chengdu Rongcheng
4 : 5
Shanghai Shenhua
15 Aug
Zhejiang Professional
2 : 3
Chengdu Rongcheng
08 Aug
Yunnan Yukun
1 : 0
Chengdu Rongcheng
Page 1 of 6

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger

(Away)
12 Sept
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
1 : 0
Liaoning Tieren
06 Sept
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
2 : 1
Zhejiang Professional
29 Aug
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
1 : 1
Qingdao West Coast
22 Aug
Wuhan Three Towns
0 : 0
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
15 Aug
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
2 : 4
Beijing Guoan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chengdu Rongcheng 26 15 7 4 51:30 52
2 Beijing Guoan 27 12 10 5 52:33 41
3 Dalian Yingbo 26 12 4 10 38:42 40
4 Yunnan Yukun 26 11 5 10 54:51 38
5 Qingdao West Coast 26 8 14 4 31:32 38
6 Shandong Taishan 26 13 4 9 46:43 37
7 Shanghai Port 27 11 8 8 44:35 36
8 Shanghai Shenhua 26 12 5 9 52:46 31
9 Zhejiang Professional 27 10 6 11 47:47 31
10 Chongqing Tonglianglong 26 7 10 9 27:32 31
11 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 27 8 5 14 36:47 29
12 Henan Songshan Longmen 27 8 10 9 35:37 28
13 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 26 9 8 9 36:32 25
14 Liaoning Tieren 26 7 4 15 34:47 25
15 Wuhan Three Towns 26 5 11 10 39:46 21
16 Qingdao Hainiu 27 6 3 18 34:56 14
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - League One 2027 (Main)