Sport Picks
Chengdu Rongcheng vs Yunnan Yukun
China
Super League Chengdu Phoenix Hill Sports Park, Chengdu 
Match Events
37'
37'
Cleber
Assist: Yang Zihao
46'
46'
Sub
Wang Dongsheng In: He Yiran
Out: Wang Dongsheng
46'
46'
Sub
Ionita II A. In: Huang Zichang
Out: Ionita II A.
AI Match Summary
The Super League game between Chengdu Rongcheng and Yunnan Yukun finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chengdu Rongcheng.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
39%
31%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- Chengdu Rongcheng carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Chengdu Rongcheng Clean Sheet 16%
Yunnan Yukun Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chengdu Rongcheng | Yunnan Yukun |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 12 |
| Draws | 10 | 8 |
| Losses | 7 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 1.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 21, 2026 FA Cup
Yunnan Yukun vs Chengdu Rongcheng
4:3
Apr 21, 2026 Super League
Chengdu Rongcheng vs Yunnan Yukun
2:1
Aug 23, 2025 Super League
Yunnan Yukun vs Chengdu Rongcheng
1:5
Apr 16, 2025 Super League
Chengdu Rongcheng vs Yunnan Yukun
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chengdu Rongcheng Compare
Top Goalscorer Sorokin E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Felipe Silva
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Yunnan Yukun Compare
Top Goalscorer Cleber
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chengdu Rongcheng 30 / 100
Yunnan Yukun 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chengdu Rongcheng Yunnan Yukun
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CHE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chengdu Rongcheng found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).
Yunnan Yukun has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Chengdu Rongcheng stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Chengdu Rongcheng VS Yunnan Yukun
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Chengdu Rongcheng
(Home) 21 Jul
Yunnan Yukun
4 : 3 Chengdu Rongcheng
17 Jul
Qingdao West Coast
1 : 1 Chengdu Rongcheng
11 Jul
Chengdu Rongcheng
1 : 1 Chongqing Tonglianglong
05 Jul
Qingdao Hainiu
1 : 1 Chengdu Rongcheng
27 Jun
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
2 : 3 Chengdu Rongcheng
Page 1 of 7
11 Jul
Chengdu Rongcheng
1 : 1 Chongqing Tonglianglong
30 May
Chengdu Rongcheng
1 : 0 Shandong Taishan
19 May
Chengdu Rongcheng
0 : 1 Shanghai Port
09 May
Chengdu Rongcheng
3 : 0 Henan Songshan Longmen
25 Apr
Chengdu Rongcheng
4 : 0 Zhejiang Professional
Page 1 of 3
Yunnan Yukun
(Away) 21 Jul
Yunnan Yukun
4 : 3 Chengdu Rongcheng
17 Jul
Yunnan Yukun
2 : 2 Shanghai Port
10 Jul
Shandong Taishan
4 : 3 Yunnan Yukun
03 Jul
Yunnan Yukun
2 : 1 Henan Songshan Longmen
26 Jun
Qingdao Hainiu
4 : 2 Yunnan Yukun
Page 1 of 6
10 Jul
Shandong Taishan
4 : 3 Yunnan Yukun
26 Jun
Qingdao Hainiu
4 : 2 Yunnan Yukun
21 Jun
Suzhou Dongwu
2 : 4 Yunnan Yukun
31 May
Wuhan Three Towns
1 : 1 Yunnan Yukun
20 May
Chongqing Tonglianglong
0 : 0 Yunnan Yukun
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 39:18 | 43 |
| 2 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 23:21 | 29 |
| 3 | Dalian Yingbo | 18 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 28:32 | 28 |
| 4 | Yunnan Yukun | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 36:35 | 25 |
| 5 | Qingdao West Coast | 19 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 23:29 | 25 |
| 6 | Shandong Taishan | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 35:34 | 24 |
| 7 | Beijing Guoan | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 30:24 | 22 |
| 8 | Zhejiang Professional | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 27:32 | 21 |
| 9 | Liaoning Tieren | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 25:30 | 21 |
| 10 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 25:33 | 20 |
| 11 | Shanghai Shenhua | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 36:29 | 19 |
| 12 | Henan Songshan Longmen | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 23:23 | 18 |
| 13 | Shanghai Port | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 28:26 | 16 |
| 14 | Qingdao Hainiu | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 30:36 | 14 |
| 15 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 24:22 | 11 |
| 16 | Wuhan Three Towns | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 26:34 | 11 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - League One 2027 (Main)