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Chennaiyin FC vs Bengaluru FC

India India

ISL Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium, Chennai
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Chukwu D.
Assist: Desai M.
43' Event
Williams R.
Assist: Fanai L.
46'
Sub
Kuziev S. In: Narayanan S. S.
Out: Kuziev S.

AI Match Summary

The ISL game between Chennaiyin FC and Bengaluru FC finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bengaluru FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Chennaiyin FC
17%
Draws
70%
Bengaluru FC
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Bengaluru FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bengaluru FC come out ahead of Chennaiyin FC on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Bengaluru FC's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular ISL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Bengaluru FC here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Chennaiyin FC Clean Sheet 16%
Bengaluru FC Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chennaiyin FC Bengaluru FC
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 5 14
Draws 7 7
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 0.88 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.38 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 ISL
Chennaiyin FC vs Bengaluru FC
1:2
Feb 25, 2025 ISL
Bengaluru FC vs Chennaiyin FC
1:0
Dec 28, 2024 ISL
Chennaiyin FC vs Bengaluru FC
2:4
Feb 7, 2024 ISL
Bengaluru FC vs Chennaiyin FC
1:0
Dec 13, 2023 ISL
Chennaiyin FC vs Bengaluru FC
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chennaiyin FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Chukwu D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Bengaluru FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Williams R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Worneilen S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chennaiyin FC 15 / 100
Bengaluru FC 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chennaiyin FC Bengaluru FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BEN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bengaluru FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 32 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Chennaiyin FC scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Chennaiyin FC has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chennaiyin FC VS Bengaluru FC
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chennaiyin FC

(Home)
16 May
Chennaiyin FC
1 : 2
Bengaluru FC
10 May
North East United
4 : 1
Chennaiyin FC
06 May
Minerva Punjab
1 : 0
Chennaiyin FC
25 Apr
Jamshedpur
4 : 1
Chennaiyin FC
21 Apr
Chennaiyin FC
0 : 0
Mohammedan
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Bengaluru FC

(Away)
16 May
Chennaiyin FC
1 : 2
Bengaluru FC
09 May
Jamshedpur
0 : 1
Bengaluru FC
04 May
Odisha FC
1 : 1
Bengaluru FC
25 Apr
Bengaluru FC
0 : 0
Mumbai City
16 Apr
East Bengal
3 : 3
Bengaluru FC
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1East Bengal1375130:1126
2Mohun Bagan1375123:926
3Mumbai City1374217:925
4Bengaluru FC1365218:1223
5Jamshedpur1364315:1022
6Minerva Punjab1364318:1222
7FC Goa1355315:1120
8Kerala Blasters1352615:1717
9North East United1344516:2116
10Inter Kashi1334611:1713
11Odisha FC1325614:2211
12SC Delhi1325613:1711
13Chennaiyin FC132389:219
14Mohammedan1303107:323
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Qualification)