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Chenois vs Stade Payerne - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Switzerland Switzerland

1.Liga Classic Cup
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the 1.Liga Classic Cup. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Chenois at 1.79 goals for, 1.79 against; Stade Payerne at 1.36 for, 2.07 against. Past meetings favor Chenois slightly — 1-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 18, 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (2.00 - 1.63) back Chenois to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Chenois
20%
Draws
22%
Stade Payerne
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chenois

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Stade Payerne haven't matched Chenois's recent run of results.
  • Chenois are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Chenois have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Stade Payerne, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Chenois Clean Sheet 14%
Stade Payerne Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chenois Stade Payerne
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 8
Draws 6 7
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.79 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.79 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2026 1.Liga Classic Group 1
Chenois vs Stade Payerne
2:0
Aug 30, 2025 1.Liga Classic Group 1
Stade Payerne vs Chenois
0:0
May 10, 2025 1.Liga Classic Group 1
Chenois vs Stade Payerne
1:2
Nov 2, 2024 1.Liga Classic Group 1
Stade Payerne vs Chenois
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chenois 75 / 100
Stade Payerne 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chenois Stade Payerne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chenois Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Chenois scored in 89% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Stade Payerne conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Chenois has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chenois VS Stade Payerne
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Chenois

(Home)
03 Oct
Chenois
0 : 4
Vevey
26 Sept
Portalban
1 : 1
Chenois
19 Sept
Chenois
2 : 0
Sion II
12 Sept
Lancy
2 : 4
Chenois
05 Sept
Chenois
1 : 1
Prishtina Bern
Page 1 of 6

Stade Payerne

(Away)
03 Oct
Stade Payerne
0 : 3
Portalban
26 Sept
Sion II
2 : 0
Stade Payerne
19 Sept
Stade Payerne
3 : 1
Lancy
12 Sept
Prishtina Bern
4 : 1
Stade Payerne
05 Sept
Stade Payerne
1 : 2
USI Azzurri
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Collina d'Oro -
Taverne -
Freienbach -
Wettswil-Bonstetten -
Baden -
Wohlen -
Dietikon -
Black Stars -
Tuggen -
Schotz -
Gossau -
Zug -
Muri-Gumligen -
USI Azzurri -
Solothurn -
Echallens -
Courtetelle -
Meyrin -
Oberwallis Naters -
La Chaux-De-Fonds -
Mendrisio -
Kosova -
Chenois -
Stade Payerne -
Lancy -
Portalban -
Muttenz -
Thalwil -
Concordia -
Locarno -
FC Widnau -
Buochs -
Coffrane -
Prishtina Bern -
Munsingen -
Vevey -
Bassecourt -
Delemont -
Langenthal -
Monthey -
Final
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