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Cheonan City vs Busan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South Korea South Korea

K League 2 Cheonan Stadium, Cheonan
Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
05:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cheonan City host Busan in the K League 2. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Busan have shipped 1.2 goals a game lately, while Cheonan City have conceded 1.38 and scored 1.28. Past meetings favor Busan slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 10, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (0.94 xG vs 0.88) point toward Busan. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Cheonan City
30%
Draws
39%
Busan
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Busan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Busan come out ahead of Cheonan City on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Busan have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Cheonan City Clean Sheet 20%
Busan Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cheonan City Busan
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 15
Draws 11 5
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.28 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 K League 2
Busan vs Cheonan City
1:0
Oct 8, 2025 K League 2
Cheonan City vs Busan
0:0
Aug 17, 2025 K League 2
Cheonan City vs Busan
0:1
Mar 16, 2025 K League 2
Busan vs Cheonan City
2:1
Nov 2, 2024 K League 2
Cheonan City vs Busan
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cheonan City 36 / 100
Busan 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cheonan City Busan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Busan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cheonan City scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Busan conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Cheonan City has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cheonan City VS Busan
1 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cheonan City

(Home)
01 Nov
Gimhae
3 : 3
Cheonan City
25 Oct
Cheonan City
3 : 1
Ansan Greeners
10 Oct
Cheonan City
1 : 0
Gyeongnam
19 Sept
Chungnam Asan
3 : 1
Cheonan City
13 Sept
Suwon FC
1 : 1
Cheonan City
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Busan

(Away)
25 Oct
Busan
3 : 1
Gyeongnam
18 Oct
Busan
2 : 1
Jeonnam
10 Oct
Paju Frontier
1 : 1
Busan
19 Sept
Gimpo FC
1 : 0
Busan
13 Sept
Busan
2 : 0
Gimhae
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Suwon Bluewings 29 19 6 4 50:25 63
2 Suwon FC 29 16 9 4 54:31 57
3 Seoul E-Land 29 16 6 7 54:36 54
4 Daegu 29 15 8 6 57:40 53
5 Busan 29 14 6 9 47:37 48
6 Hwaseong 30 12 9 9 44:33 45
7 Chungnam Asan 29 11 9 9 41:33 42
8 Gimpo FC 29 9 11 9 37:39 38
9 Gyeongnam 29 9 11 9 33:34 38
10 Paju Frontier 29 9 7 13 29:35 34
11 Yongin FC 29 7 12 10 38:43 33
12 Cheongju 30 6 14 10 36:49 32
13 Seongnam 29 7 11 11 32:39 32
14 Cheonan City 29 6 12 11 37:41 30
15 Jeonnam 29 5 10 14 35:52 25
16 Ansan Greeners 30 7 4 19 33:57 25
17 Gimhae 29 3 9 17 27:60 18
Promotion - K League 1 2027 (Main)
Promotion - K League 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - K League 2 (Relegation)