Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cheongju vs Busan

South Korea South Korea

K League 2 Cheongju Stadion
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cheongju play Busan in the K League 2. It looks like a close match. Recently, Cheongju averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. Busan averaged 2.13 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Cheongju won 1, Busan won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Mar 29, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Cheongju and 1.88 for Busan. This points to a Busan double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Cheongju
17%
Draws
70%
Busan
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Busan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Busan has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Cheongju.
  • Model forecasts a 70% win probability edge for Busan.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in K League 2 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Cheongju Clean Sheet 10%
Busan Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cheongju Busan
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 2 14
Draws 15 9
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.13 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 K League 2
Cheongju vs Busan
1:2
Aug 30, 2025 K League 2
Busan vs Cheongju
2:2
Jun 22, 2025 K League 2
Busan vs Cheongju
2:2
May 11, 2025 K League 2
Cheongju vs Busan
0:2
Oct 29, 2024 K League 2
Busan vs Cheongju
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cheongju Compare

Top Goalscorer Bughridze I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Busan Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabriel Honorio
1 Goals
Assists Leader Baek Ga-On
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cheongju 14 / 100
Busan 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cheongju Busan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BUS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cheongju scored in 52% of their last 29 games.

Busan let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Cheongju went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Busan lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cheongju VS Busan
1.13 Goals Scored 2.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Busan16113235:2036
2Suwon Bluewings16102422:1432
3Daegu1694335:2231
4Suwon FC1685334:2129
5Seoul E-Land1692528:1929
6Hwaseong1674523:1925
7Chungnam Asan1666424:1924
8Gimpo FC1666419:1824
9Gyeongnam1655620:2520
10Cheonan City1647519:1919
11Yongin FC1638520:2317
12Paju Frontier1652917:2217
13Seongnam1638516:1817
14Cheongju16111419:2714
15Ansan Greeners16421017:2914
16Jeonnam1616918:319
17Gimhae16231113:339