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Cheongju vs Seoul Jungnang

South Korea South Korea

Korean Cup 2023 Cheongju Stadion
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cheongju play Seoul Jungnang in the Korean Cup 2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Cheongju averaged 0.88 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. Seoul Jungnang averaged 1.7 goals scored and 1.65 conceded. In past meetings, Cheongju won 1, Seoul Jungnang won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 29, 2023 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Cheongju and 1.44 for Seoul Jungnang. This points to a Seoul Jungnang double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Cheongju
35%
Draws
34%
Seoul Jungnang
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Seoul Jungnang

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Cheongju picked up more points recently compared to Seoul Jungnang.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%
Cheongju Clean Sheet 16%
Seoul Jungnang Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 64%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cheongju Seoul Jungnang
Matches Played 32 23
Wins 4 8
Draws 15 4
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 0.88 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.65
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2023 Korean Cup
Cheongju vs Seoul Jungnang
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cheongju Compare

Top Goalscorer Lee Jung-Taek
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lee Seung-Jae
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Seoul Jungnang Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cheongju 31 / 100
Seoul Jungnang 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cheongju Seoul Jungnang

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Seoul Jungnang or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +34.8%
4.35
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.8%
2.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Cheongju attacking → ← attacking Seoul Jungnang

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cheongju scored in 53% of their last 32 games.

Seoul Jungnang let in goals in 78% of their last 23 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Cheongju went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Seoul Jungnang lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

27 Points in last 5 28
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38