Sport Picks
Chepstow Town vs Grange Harlequins Prediction & H2H Stats
Wales
FA Cup 2012/2013 
AI Match Summary
Chepstow Town in this FA Cup 2012/2013 tie, finishing 4-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Grange Harlequins
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
34%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Chepstow Town lately — more wins on the board than Grange Harlequins.
- 34% — that's where the model lands on Chepstow Town taking it.
- Chepstow Town have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Chepstow Town, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Chepstow Town Clean Sheet 14%
Grange Harlequins Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chepstow Town | Grange Harlequins |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 17 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 7 |
| Draws | 0 | 3 |
| Losses | 8 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 1.94 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.76 | 2.8 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 10, 2012 FAW Welsh Cup
Chepstow Town vs Grange Harlequins
4:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chepstow Town 84 / 100
Grange Harlequins 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chepstow Town Grange Harlequins
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Chepstow Town Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Grange Harlequins has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.
Chepstow Town scored in 76% of their last 17 games.
Chepstow Town went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Chepstow Town VS Grange Harlequins
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Chepstow Town
(Home) 21 Sept
Chepstow Town
0 : 1 Pill
11 Nov
South Gower AFC
3 : 2 Chepstow Town
14 Oct
Chepstow Town
4 : 0 Abercarn United
16 Sept
Chepstow Town
7 : 0 Pill
08 Oct
Chepstow Town
1 : 2 Pontypridd United
Page 1 of 4
21 Sept
Chepstow Town
0 : 1 Pill
14 Oct
Chepstow Town
4 : 0 Abercarn United
16 Sept
Chepstow Town
7 : 0 Pill
08 Oct
Chepstow Town
1 : 2 Pontypridd United
17 Sept
Chepstow Town
1 : 0 Rockspur
Page 1 of 2
Grange Harlequins
(Away) 10 Nov
Chepstow Town
4 : 1 Grange Harlequins
06 Oct
Grange Harlequins
4 : 3 Llanwern FC
26 Feb
TNS
2 : 0 Grange Harlequins
29 Jan
Grange Harlequins
1 : 0 Bridgend Town
06 Nov
Corus Steel
0 : 2 Grange Harlequins
Page 1 of 6
10 Nov
Chepstow Town
4 : 1 Grange Harlequins
26 Feb
TNS
2 : 0 Grange Harlequins
06 Nov
Corus Steel
0 : 2 Grange Harlequins
31 Oct
Prestatyn
3 : 0 Grange Harlequins
12 Sept
Treharris Athletic
3 : 4 Grange Harlequins
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Bangor City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tata Steel 7
Bridgend Street 4
Pontypridd United 0
Aberdare Town 1
Llanelli -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Connahs Q. -
Newtown -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brymbo 2
Penycae FC 1
Llanberis FC 1
Cefn Druids 7
Port Talbot -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
Haverfordwest 5
Brecon Corinthians 2
Cwmbran Celtic 0
Cambrian United 1
Montgomery 5
Venture Community 2
Mold Alexandra 1
Llandudno Junction 4
Gwalchmai 4
Carno FC 1
Ruthin Town 1
Corwen 2
Grange Harlequins 4
Llanwern FC 3
Ammanford Town 1
Chepstow Town 2
Rhyl 7
Bodedern 0
Rhydymwyn 1
Waterloo Rovers 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aberystwyth -
Conwy Borough 1
Caernarfon 0
Llanuwchllyn 3
Buckley 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TNS -
Barry Town 5
Caerleon 2
Presteigne St. Andrews 0
Penrhyncoch 2
Aberbargoed Buds 2
Trefores 1
Bryntirion Athletic 1
Ely Rangers 3
Goytre AFC 3
Llwydcoed 0
Caerau FC 8
Llantwit Fardre 0
Ton Pentre 3
Dinas Powys 1
Bridgend Town 0
Pontardawe 1
Caerau Ely 7
Croesyceiliog FC 3
Pontyclun FC 0
Goytre Utd 6
Llandudno FC 3
Porthmadog 2
Denbigh 1
Holywell Town FC 3
Llanidloes Town 6
Halkyn United 1
Coedpoeth 1
Caersws FC 2
Greenfield 4
Llanllyfni FC 0
Guilsfield 2
Flint Town 3
Carmarthen Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pwllheli 5
Brickfield Rangers 2
Llansantffraid Village 2
Holyhead 6
Monmouth 1
AFC Porth 0
Cwmamman United 1
Newbridge 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bala -
West End 4
Taffs Well 0
Risca United 0
Rhayader 2
Llanrhaeadr 2
Glan Conwy FC 1
Four Crosses 1
Llanrug 2
Afan Lido -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Prestatyn -
1/32-finals
Bangor City -
TBD -
Tata Steel 1
Aberdare Town 2
Llanelli -
TBD -
TBD -
Connahs Q. -
Newtown -
TBD -
Brymbo 1
Cefn Druids 3
Port Talbot -
TBD -
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
Haverfordwest 1
Cambrian United 0
Montgomery 1
Llandudno Junction 3
Gwalchmai 2
Corwen 1
Grange Harlequins 1
Chepstow Town 4
Rhyl 5
Waterloo Rovers 0
TBD -
Aberystwyth -
Conwy Borough 2
Buckley 1
TBD -
TNS -
Barry Town 2
Penrhyncoch 1
Aberbargoed Buds 1
Ely Rangers 6
Goytre AFC 3
Caerau FC 1
Ton Pentre 0
Pontardawe 2
Caerau Ely 4
Goytre Utd 2
Llandudno FC 3
Holywell Town FC 5
Llanidloes Town 3
Caersws FC 2
Greenfield 0
Flint Town 3
Carmarthen Town -
TBD -
Pwllheli 2
Holyhead 5
Monmouth 5
Newbridge 1
TBD -
Bala -
West End 2
Rhayader 0
Llanrhaeadr 2
Llanrug 3
Afan Lido -
TBD -
TBD -
Prestatyn -
1/16-finals
Bangor City 4
Aberdare Town 1
Llanelli 2
Connahs Q. 4
Newtown 2
Cefn Druids 0
Port Talbot 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC 3
Haverfordwest 3
Llandudno Junction 2
Gwalchmai 0
Chepstow Town 2
Rhyl 5
Aberystwyth 2
Conwy Borough 1
TNS 3
Barry Town 3
Ely Rangers 1
Goytre AFC 0
Pontardawe 2
Caerau Ely 2
Holywell Town FC 0
Llanidloes Town 0
Flint Town 1
Carmarthen Town 2
Holyhead 1
Monmouth 2
Bala 3
West End 5
Llanrug 0
Afan Lido 3
Prestatyn 4
1/8-finals
Bangor City 2
Connahs Q. 0
Newtown 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
Haverfordwest 4
Chepstow Town 3
Rhyl 1
TNS 5
Barry Town 2
Pontardawe 1
Caerau Ely 1
Flint Town 3
Carmarthen Town 3
Bala 2
West End 0
Prestatyn 2
Quarter-finals
Bangor City 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 0
Haverfordwest 0
TNS 1
Barry Town 2
Flint Town 0
Carmarthen Town 2
Prestatyn 3
Semi-finals
Bangor City 1
TNS 0
Barry Town 1
Prestatyn 2
Final
Bangor City 1
Prestatyn 3
