Sport Picks
Chepstow Town vs Rockspur Prediction & H2H Stats
Wales
FA Cup 2022/2023 
AI Match Summary
Chepstow Town in this FA Cup 2022/2023 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
15%
39%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chepstow Town
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Chepstow Town lately — more wins on the board than Rockspur.
- Chepstow Town are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Chepstow Town have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Chepstow Town, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 41.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Chepstow Town Clean Sheet 15%
Rockspur Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chepstow Town | Rockspur |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 17 | 3 |
| Wins | 9 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 8 | 2 |
| Goals Scored | 1.94 | 1.33 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.76 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.60 | 1.54 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 17, 2022 FAW Welsh Cup
Chepstow Town vs Rockspur
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chepstow Town 84 / 100
Rockspur 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chepstow Town Rockspur
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Chepstow Town Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Rockspur has conceded goals in 100% of their last 3 outings.
Chepstow Town found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (17 games).
These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Chepstow Town stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Chepstow Town VS Rockspur
1.88 Goals Scored 1.33
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.33
88% Over 1.5 33%
75% Over 2.5 33%
50% Over 3.5 33%
Recent Form & Match History
Chepstow Town
(Home) 21 Sept
Chepstow Town
0 : 1 Pill
11 Nov
South Gower AFC
3 : 2 Chepstow Town
14 Oct
Chepstow Town
4 : 0 Abercarn United
16 Sept
Chepstow Town
7 : 0 Pill
08 Oct
Chepstow Town
1 : 2 Pontypridd United
Page 1 of 4
21 Sept
Chepstow Town
0 : 1 Pill
14 Oct
Chepstow Town
4 : 0 Abercarn United
16 Sept
Chepstow Town
7 : 0 Pill
08 Oct
Chepstow Town
1 : 2 Pontypridd United
17 Sept
Chepstow Town
1 : 0 Rockspur
Page 1 of 2
Rockspur
(Away) 14 Oct
South Gower AFC
1 : 0 Rockspur
16 Sept
Rockspur
4 : 2 Afan United
17 Sept
Chepstow Town
1 : 0 Rockspur
14 Oct
South Gower AFC
1 : 0 Rockspur
17 Sept
Chepstow Town
1 : 0 Rockspur
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
CKSV 1
Aber Valley 5
TBD -
Barry Town -
Llandudno Amateurs 1
Llanrug 7
Llanidloes Town 0
Gresford 1
Felinheli 2
Glannau 1
Conwy Borough 3
Kinmel Bay 2
Risca United 4
Aberbargoed Buds 2
TBD -
Penybont -
Trearddur Bay 1
Penycae FC 5
TBD -
Guilsfield -
Abergavenny Town 2
Treharris Athletic 1
TBD -
Goytre Utd -
Afan Lido 0
Hakin United 1
TBD -
Taffs Well -
Llanfair United 1
Llanuwchllyn 2
TBD -
Holywell Town FC -
Cwmbran Celtic 1
Ammanford Town 0
TBD -
Llantwit Major -
Cefn Cribwr 1
Newport City 2
TBD -
Carmarthen Town -
Penydarren 4
Ynyshir Albions 0
TBD -
Pure Swansea -
Trethomas Bluebirds 6
Ton Pentre 0
TBD -
Haverfordwest -
Mochdre Sports 0
Chirk AAA FC 3
TBD -
TNS -
Llay Welfare 3
Flint Mountain 6
TBD -
Caernarfon -
Pencoed 6
Brecon Corinthians 2
TBD -
Aberystwyth -
Treowen 0
Cardiff Corries 6
TBD -
Newtown -
Abermule 2
Hawarden Rangers 3
TBD -
Bala -
Penrhyncoch 1
Caersws FC 2
TBD -
Flint Town -
Penparcau FC 1
Rhyl 3
TBD -
Ruthin Town -
Chepstow Town 1
Rockspur 0
TBD -
Pontypridd United -
Porthmadog 3
Mold Alexandra 4
TBD -
Holyhead -
Croesyceiliog FC 2
Ynysygerwn 1
TBD -
Briton Ferry -
Llangefni 1
Llandudno Albion 2
TBD -
Buckley -
Machynlleth 0
Prestatyn 3
TBD -
Llandudno FC -
Llansannan 1
Glantraeth FC 2
TBD -
Cefn Druids -
Canton 5
West End 1
Llanelli 4
Goytre AFC 0
Denbigh 6
Llanrwst United 1
TBD -
Connahs Q. -
Bow Street 6
Bangor 1876 5
TBD -
Colwyn Bay -
Baglan Dragons 1
Pontardawe 2
TBD -
Cambrian United -
Pill 4
Caldicot 0
TBD -
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
Talysarn Celts 0
Queens Park 1
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
Aberfan 2
Porthcawl Town 0
Trefelin 5
Llandrindod 0
1/32-finals
Aber Valley 1
Barry Town 3
Llanrug 0
Gresford 3
Felinheli 1
Conwy Borough 4
Risca United 1
Penybont 5
Penycae FC 1
Guilsfield 4
Abergavenny Town 1
Goytre Utd 2
Hakin United 4
Taffs Well 1
Llanuwchllyn 0
Holywell Town FC 5
Cwmbran Celtic 3
Llantwit Major 2
Newport City 0
Carmarthen Town 2
Penydarren 2
Pure Swansea 1
Trethomas Bluebirds 2
Haverfordwest 1
Chirk AAA FC 1
TNS 2
Flint Mountain 0
Caernarfon 4
Pencoed 0
Aberystwyth 1
Cardiff Corries 1
Newtown 8
Hawarden Rangers 1
Bala 6
Caersws FC 0
Flint Town 1
Rhyl 0
Ruthin Town 2
Chepstow Town 1
Pontypridd United 2
Mold Alexandra 3
Holyhead 1
Croesyceiliog FC 0
Briton Ferry 5
Llandudno Albion 0
Buckley 3
Prestatyn 2
Llandudno FC 0
Glantraeth FC 0
Cefn Druids 5
Canton 1
Llanelli 2
Denbigh 1
Connahs Q. 5
Bow Street 1
Colwyn Bay 4
Pontardawe 1
Cambrian United 0
Pill 2
Cardiff Metropolitan University 1
Queens Park 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC 3
Aberfan 1
Trefelin 5
1/16-finals
Barry Town 0
Gresford 2
Conwy Borough 0
Penybont 3
Guilsfield 6
Goytre Utd 3
Hakin United 1
Holywell Town FC 5
Cwmbran Celtic 4
Carmarthen Town 3
Penydarren 1
Trethomas Bluebirds 0
TNS 2
Caernarfon 1
Aberystwyth 1
Newtown 3
Bala 2
Flint Town 0
Ruthin Town 3
Pontypridd United 4
Mold Alexandra 0
Briton Ferry 4
Buckley 2
Prestatyn 0
Cefn Druids 3
Llanelli 4
Connahs Q. 4
Colwyn Bay 0
Pontardawe 3
Pill 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
Trefelin 1
1/8-finals
Gresford 0
Penybont 2
Guilsfield 1
Holywell Town FC 2
Cwmbran Celtic 3
Penydarren 2
TNS 7
Newtown 0
Bala 2
Pontypridd United 1
Briton Ferry 3
Buckley 2
Llanelli 0
Connahs Q. 2
Pontardawe 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
Quarter-finals
Penybont 2
Holywell Town FC 1
Cwmbran Celtic 1
TNS 3
Bala 2
Briton Ferry 0
Connahs Q. 5
Airbus UK Broughton FC 0
Semi-finals
Penybont 0
TNS 2
Bala 3
Connahs Q. 2
Final
TNS 6
Bala 0
