Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
This match ends 0-5, with STM Sports advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Chepstow Town
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Chepstow Town haven't matched STM Sports's recent run of results.
- Model gives Chepstow Town a 90% chance of winning this.
- STM Sports arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor STM Sports, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Chepstow Town Clean Sheet 20%
STM Sports Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chepstow Town | STM Sports |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 17 | 22 |
| Wins | 9 | 12 |
| Draws | 0 | 3 |
| Losses | 8 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 2.14 | 0.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.29 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.14 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.29 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 16, 2019 FA Cup
Chepstow Town vs STM Sports
0:5
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chepstow Town 85 / 100
STM Sports 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chepstow Town STM Sports
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CHE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.
Attacking prowess: Chepstow Town scored in 76% of their last 17 outings.
Defensive concern: STM Sports conceded in 73% of 22 recent games.
Difficult form: STM Sports registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Chepstow Town VS STM Sports
2.14 Goals Scored 0.88
1.29 Goals Conceded 1.38
71% Over 1.5 63%
71% Over 2.5 63%
43% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Chepstow Town
(Home) 21 Sept
Chepstow Town
0 : 1 Pill
11 Nov
South Gower AFC
3 : 2 Chepstow Town
14 Oct
Chepstow Town
4 : 0 Abercarn United
16 Sept
Chepstow Town
7 : 0 Pill
08 Oct
Chepstow Town
1 : 2 Pontypridd United
Page 1 of 4
21 Sept
Chepstow Town
0 : 1 Pill
14 Oct
Chepstow Town
4 : 0 Abercarn United
16 Sept
Chepstow Town
7 : 0 Pill
08 Oct
Chepstow Town
1 : 2 Pontypridd United
17 Sept
Chepstow Town
1 : 0 Rockspur
Page 1 of 2
STM Sports
(Away) 07 Mar
STM Sports
3 : 0 Ammanford Town
21 Feb
Briton Ferry
4 : 1 STM Sports
08 Feb
Afan Lido
1 : 3 STM Sports
01 Feb
Connahs Q.
3 : 0 STM Sports
25 Jan
STM Sports
0 : 3 Haverfordwest
Page 1 of 5
21 Feb
Briton Ferry
4 : 1 STM Sports
08 Feb
Afan Lido
1 : 3 STM Sports
01 Feb
Connahs Q.
3 : 0 STM Sports
17 Jan
Llanelli
2 : 1 STM Sports
28 Dec
Caerau Ely
1 : 1 STM Sports
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Carmarthen Town-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ammanford Town4
Cardiff Draconians1
Builth2
Ton Pentre3
Garden Village1
Goytre Utd3
Cefn Cribwr2
Tredegar Town1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Caernarfon-
Cefn Druids-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Chirk AAA FC0
Llannefydd3
Guilsfield2
Brymbo1
Cwmbran Celtic2
Pontardawe3
Croesyceiliog FC2
Abergavenny Town1
Holyhead4
Montgomery2
Blaenau0
Buckley2
Abertillery Bluebirds3
Penparcau FC1
Trefelin2
Llanidloes Town3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Connahs Q.-
Afan Lido3
Monmouth1
Aberbargoed Buds3
Aberaeron1
Holywell Town FC2
Llandudno FC3
Mynydd Isa3
Llanfair United5
Penybont-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Llanberis FC0
Porthmadog7
Coedpoeth0
Gresford5
Cardiff Metropolitan University-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Pontypridd United3
Caerau Ely1
Llantwit Major0
Llandrindod1
Greenfield3
Caersws FC1
Flint Town9
Four Crosses0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Bala-
Nantlle Vale FC2
Rhydymwyn0
Corwen2
Colwyn Bay3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Airbus UK Broughton FC-
Briton Ferry2
Undy3
Pure Swansea4
Caerleon1
Haverfordwest5
Penlan Club3
Cambrian United7
Ynyshir Albions3
Llanelli2
Cwmamman United1
Penrhyncoch2
Cardiff Corries1
Nefyn United0
Bangor City2
Llanrhaeadr1
Prestatyn4
TNS-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Waterloo Rovers1
Mold Alexandra8
Llanrug1
Aberffraw0
Aberystwyth-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Bangor 18764
Penycae FC3
Conwy Borough1
Ruthin Town2
Barry Town-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Newtown-
Rhyl2
Llangefni0
Prestatyn Sports2
Queens Park3
Chepstow Town3
Taffs Well2
Cwmaman Institute2
STM Sports6
1/32-finals
Carmarthen Town-
TBD-
Ammanford Town3
Ton Pentre1
Goytre Utd6
Cefn Cribwr4
TBD-
Caernarfon-
Cefn Druids-
TBD-
Llannefydd1
Guilsfield5
Pontardawe6
Croesyceiliog FC1
Holyhead0
Buckley3
Abertillery Bluebirds4
Llanidloes Town3
TBD-
Connahs Q.-
Afan Lido2
Aberbargoed Buds1
Llandudno FC4
Llanfair United1
Penybont-
TBD-
Porthmadog4
Gresford1
Cardiff Metropolitan University-
TBD-
Pontypridd United1
Llandrindod0
Greenfield1
Flint Town3
TBD-
Bala-
Nantlle Vale FC0
Colwyn Bay1
TBD-
Airbus UK Broughton FC-
Undy5
Pure Swansea6
Haverfordwest1
Cambrian United2
Llanelli0
Penrhyncoch1
Bangor City0
Prestatyn3
TNS-
TBD-
Mold Alexandra8
Llanrug1
Aberystwyth-
TBD-
Bangor 18760
Ruthin Town2
Barry Town-
TBD-
TBD-
Newtown-
Rhyl3
Queens Park0
Chepstow Town0
STM Sports5
1/16-finals
Carmarthen Town0
Ammanford Town4
Goytre Utd0
Caernarfon4
Cefn Druids2
Guilsfield0
Pontardawe3
Buckley1
Abertillery Bluebirds0
Connahs Q.3
Afan Lido5
Llandudno FC1
Penybont6
Porthmadog1
Cardiff Metropolitan University1
Pontypridd United0
Flint Town2
Bala0
Colwyn Bay1
Airbus UK Broughton FC0
Pure Swansea3
Cambrian United0
Penrhyncoch1
Prestatyn2
TNS9
Mold Alexandra0
Aberystwyth2
Ruthin Town1
Barry Town0
Newtown1
Rhyl2
STM Sports0
1/8-finals
Ammanford Town0
Caernarfon4
Cefn Druids2
Pontardawe0
Connahs Q.8
Afan Lido0
Penybont1
Cardiff Metropolitan University2
Flint Town3
Colwyn Bay2
Pure Swansea0
Prestatyn1
TNS4
Aberystwyth0
Newtown4
Rhyl1
Quarter-finals
Caernarfon4
Cefn Druids0
Connahs Q.1
Cardiff Metropolitan University2
Flint Town0
Prestatyn1
TNS6
Newtown1
Semi-finals
Caernarfon-
Cardiff Metropolitan University-
Prestatyn-
TNS-
Final
TBD-
TBD-