Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cherbourg vs Brest

France France

Coupe de France 2013/2014
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Ayite J.
49' Event
Ayite J.
83' Event
Pailler E.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-3, with Brest advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Cherbourg
30%
Draws
28%
Brest
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cherbourg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Brest come out ahead of Cherbourg on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Brest arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Brest, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Cherbourg Clean Sheet 19%
Brest Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cherbourg Brest
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 10
Draws 9 8
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 7, 2013 Coupe de France
Cherbourg vs Brest
1:3
Mar 20, 2004 Ligue 3
Brest vs Cherbourg
1:1
Sep 27, 2003 Ligue 3
Cherbourg vs Brest
2:3
Feb 1, 2003 Ligue 3
Cherbourg vs Brest
1:0
Aug 23, 2002 Ligue 3
Brest vs Cherbourg
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cherbourg Compare

Top Goalscorer Pailler E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Brest Compare

Top Goalscorer Ayite J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Alphonse A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cherbourg 32 / 100
Brest 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cherbourg Brest

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Brest conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Cherbourg scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Cherbourg stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Brest
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cherbourg

(Home)
18 Nov
Grand Quevilly
4 : 1
Cherbourg
24 May
Saint-Malo
1 : 2
Cherbourg
17 May
Cherbourg
2 : 0
Nantes II
10 May
Romorantin
0 : 1
Cherbourg
03 May
Cherbourg
0 : 1
Stade Bordelais
Page 1 of 6

Brest

(Away)
08 Aug
Brest
2 : 2
Venezia
05 Aug
Stade Briochin
1 : 2
Brest
01 Aug
Brest
3 : 3
Guingamp
22 Jul
Brest
0 : 2
Al Wakra
18 Jul
Brest
2 : 2
Concarneau
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Rennes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valenciennes -
Beauvais 2
St. Maur Lusitanos 1
Neufchatel 0
Boulogne Billancourt 6
Schiltigheim 3
Veymerange 0
Marquette 1
Boulogne 3
Dijon 2
Nimes 1
Gemenos 0
AS-Fabregues 2
Balma 3
Blagnac 0
Le Puy-en-Velay 0
Aubagne FC 2
Olympique Marcquois 1
Tremblay FC 0
Plessis Robinson 0
Olympique de Neuilly 1
Nancy 2
Strasbourg 1
Koetzingue 1
Auxerre 4
Caen 1
Drouais 0
Le Portel 0
Saint-Pryve 3
Sarre Union 3
Joeuf 0
St. Louis Neuweg 1
Pontarlier 2
Quimperle 2
Montagnarde 1
Auray 1
Vignoc Hede Guipel 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AC Ajaccio -
IC Croix 4
AM Neiges Le Havre 1
Reims Ste Anne 1
Les Lilas 3
Dinsheim 2
Entente Roche Novillars 1
Le Havre 0
Saint-Amand 1
Amiens AC 2
Villeneuve Metropole 1
Berck 0
Laval 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lille -
Moulins 3
FC Cournon d'Auvergne 2
Louhans Cuiseaux 0
Charvieu Chavagnieux 1
Belfort 1
AS Dragon 0
Erstein 1
Magny 2
Romorantin 5
Chamalieres 0
Le Havre Frileuse 1
Dunkerque 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Toulouse -
Jura Sud 2
Elsau Portugais 0
Blanc Mesnil 1
Bretigny Foot 2
Metz 2
Amneville 1
Sedan 1
Creteil 3
Carquefou 2
Pacy Menilles 0
Cholet 2
Vitre 5
Grenoble 2
Foix 0
F.C. Onet Le Chateau 0
Sete 3
Borgo 2
Plouvorn 1
Paron 1
Chassieu Decines 2
Chauvigny 1
Boucau Elan 0
Kani Keli AJ 3
La Roche Vendee 8
Epinal 3
JA Drancy 0
Cambrai 2
Arras 4
Lucon 2
Lege Capferret 0
Nivolet 1
Niort 2
Sochaux -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stade Montois 2
Chateauroux 0
Stade Bordeaux 2
Bressuire 3
Chambly 1
Le Moule 0
Wasquehal 0
Chantilly 2
Villenave 2
Genets 1
Mouilleron 1
Angers 5
Guingamp -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Selongey 1
Clermont 0
Lalevade Prades 0
Bourg Peronnas 4
Poissy 2
Hienghene Sport 1
Prix les Mezieres 1
Jarville 4
Lannion FC 2
Chartres 0
Franciscain 1
Concarneau 4
Bordeaux -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sainte-Marienne 2
Paris FC 0
Luneville 1
Raon L Etape 3
La Cayolle AS 1
Athletico Marseille 0
Arles-Avignon 0
Ales 3
Villefranche 4
Geispolsheim 0
St Etienne Metare 0
Monticello 4
Montpellier -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Toulon 1
ESB Marboz 0
Tour Saint Clair 0
Rodez 1
Brest 2
Sable 0
Thouare US 0
Cherbourg 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
PSG -
Plabennec 1
Gonfreville 0
La Chaize 1
SU Dives 2
Jarnac 3
Gouzon Avenir 1
Tours 0
Les Herbiers 2
St Etienne -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Troyes 4
Chauny 0
AJ Biguglia 0
Cannes 1
Lens 5
Creil 0
Calais Pascal 2
Neslois 4
Le Rheu 2
Stade Briochin 1
US Matoury 1
Avranches 3
Thonon-Evian -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bastia -
Moulins-Yzeure 3
Annecy-le-Vieux 1
Avenir Lozere 3
Lyon - La Duchere 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lorient -
La Suze 3
Mulsanne Teloche 0
Angouleme CFC 2
Maintenon Pierres 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lyon -
Nice -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nantes -
Reims -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Marseille -
GOAL FC 3
Macon 1
Melun 1
Dizier 2
Beziers 4
Juventus Papus 0
Roche Saint-Genest 0
Istres 1
Vannes 2
Tourlaville 0
Stade Poitevin 0
Saint-Malo 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Monaco -
1/64-finals
Rennes -
TBD -
TBD -
Valenciennes -
Beauvais 2
Boulogne Billancourt 1
Schiltigheim 0
Boulogne 1
Dijon 6
AS-Fabregues 1
Balma 0
Aubagne FC 1
Olympique Marcquois 2
Olympique de Neuilly 1
Nancy 1
Auxerre 3
Caen 2
Saint-Pryve 0
Sarre Union 0
Pontarlier 2
Quimperle 3
Vignoc Hede Guipel 0
TBD -
AC Ajaccio -
IC Croix 1
Les Lilas 0
Dinsheim 2
Saint-Amand 5
Amiens AC 1
Laval 0
TBD -
Lille -
Moulins 2
Charvieu Chavagnieux 1
Belfort 1
Magny 2
Romorantin 1
Dunkerque 0
TBD -
Toulouse -
Jura Sud 2
Bretigny Foot 1
Metz 0
Creteil 1
Carquefou 4
Vitre 1
Grenoble 0
Sete 1
Borgo 2
Chassieu Decines 0
Chauvigny 0
La Roche Vendee 3
Epinal 1
Arras 0
Lucon 4
Niort 5
Sochaux -
TBD -
Stade Montois 1
Bressuire 2
Chambly 2
Chantilly 1
Villenave 4
Angers 5
Guingamp -
TBD -
Selongey 0
Bourg Peronnas 1
Poissy 1
Jarville 0
Lannion FC 1
Concarneau 2
Bordeaux -
TBD -
Sainte-Marienne 0
Raon L Etape 2
La Cayolle AS 4
Ales 1
Villefranche 2
Monticello 4
Montpellier -
TBD -
Toulon 0
Rodez 1
Brest 3
Cherbourg 1
TBD -
PSG -
Plabennec 1
SU Dives 0
Jarnac 0
Les Herbiers 3
St Etienne -
TBD -
Troyes 1
Cannes 2
Lens 4
Neslois 1
Le Rheu 0
Avranches 3
Thonon-Evian -
TBD -
TBD -
Bastia -
Moulins-Yzeure 1
Lyon - La Duchere 0
TBD -
Lorient -
La Suze 2
Maintenon Pierres 0
TBD -
Lyon -
Nice -
TBD -
TBD -
Nantes -
Reims -
TBD -
TBD -
Marseille -
GOAL FC 3
Dizier 1
Beziers 1
Istres 4
Vannes 2
Saint-Malo 0
TBD -
Monaco -
1/32-finals
Rennes 2
Valenciennes 1
Beauvais 1
Boulogne 3
Dijon 4
Aubagne FC 3
Olympique Marcquois 2
Auxerre 6
Caen 3
Pontarlier 1
Quimperle 1
AC Ajaccio 2
IC Croix 2
Saint-Amand 1
Amiens AC 1
Lille 3
Moulins 6
Magny 1
Romorantin 1
Toulouse 2
Jura Sud 1
Creteil 0
Carquefou 0
Sete 2
Borgo 3
La Roche Vendee 0
Epinal 1
Niort 4
Sochaux 3
Bressuire 0
Chambly 1
Angers 2
Guingamp 2
Bourg Peronnas 0
Poissy 0
Concarneau 1
Bordeaux 2
Raon L Etape 1
La Cayolle AS 0
Monticello 2
Montpellier 2
Rodez 0
Brest 2
PSG 5
Plabennec 1
Les Herbiers 0
St Etienne 1
Cannes 2
Lens 3
Avranches 1
Thonon-Evian 0
Bastia 1
Moulins-Yzeure 1
Lorient 0
La Suze 1
Lyon 6
Nice 2
Nantes 0
Reims 0
Marseille 2
GOAL FC 2
Istres 1
Vannes 2
Monaco 3
1/16-finals
Rennes 2
Boulogne 0
Dijon 2
Auxerre 3
Caen 2
AC Ajaccio 0
IC Croix 0
Lille 3
Moulins 2
Toulouse 1
Jura Sud 0
Sete 2
Borgo 3
Niort 2
Sochaux 0
Angers 1
Guingamp 3
Concarneau 2
Bordeaux 0
Monticello 1
Montpellier 2
PSG 1
Plabennec 0
Cannes 1
Lens 2
Bastia 1
Moulins-Yzeure 1
Lyon 3
Nice 5
Marseille 4
GOAL FC 0
Monaco 3
1/8-finals
Rennes 1
Auxerre 0
Caen 3
Lille 4
Moulins 3
Sete 1
Borgo 2
Angers 4
Guingamp 2
Monticello 0
Montpellier 0
Cannes 1
Lens 2
Lyon 1
Nice 0
Monaco 1
Quarter-finals
Rennes 2
Lille 0
Moulins 0
Angers 1
Guingamp 2
Cannes 0
Lens 0
Monaco 6
Semi-finals
Rennes 3
Angers 2
Guingamp 3
Monaco 1
Final
Rennes 0
Guingamp 2