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Cherbourg vs Concarneau

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CFA - Group D 2013/2014
Cherbourg Logo

Cherbourg

1 - 2
FT
Concarneau Logo

Concarneau

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Concarneau in this CFA - Group D 2013/2014 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Concarneau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Cherbourg
15%
Draws
45%
Concarneau
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Concarneau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Concarneau average 1.26 goals a game right now, well clear of Cherbourg's 1.
  • Concarneau are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular CFA - Group D 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Cherbourg Clean Sheet 20%
Concarneau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cherbourg Concarneau
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 9
Draws 9 12
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2014 National 2 - Group D
Cherbourg vs Concarneau
1:2
Nov 2, 2013 National 2 - Group D
Concarneau vs Cherbourg
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cherbourg 20 / 100
Concarneau 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cherbourg Concarneau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Concarneau Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cherbourg's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Concarneau let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Cherbourg has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Concarneau
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cherbourg

(Home)
18 Nov
Grand Quevilly
4 : 1
Cherbourg
24 May
Saint-Malo
1 : 2
Cherbourg
17 May
Cherbourg
2 : 0
Nantes II
10 May
Romorantin
0 : 1
Cherbourg
03 May
Cherbourg
0 : 1
Stade Bordelais
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Concarneau

(Away)
14 Aug
Quevilly
1 : 1
Concarneau
07 Aug
Concarneau
0 : 2
Orleans
31 Jul
Concarneau
5 : 1
Pontivy
25 Jul
Laval
1 : 2
Concarneau
22 Jul
Guingamp
0 : 1
Concarneau
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Avranches 30 19 6 5 56:22 93
2 Saint-Malo 30 17 5 8 45:29 86
3 Les Herbiers 30 13 11 6 46:26 80
4 Nantes II 30 13 8 9 31:23 77
5 Trelissac 30 12 8 10 29:26 74
6 Vitre 30 11 9 10 36:39 72
7 Concarneau 30 10 11 9 33:34 71
8 Stade Bordelais 30 11 7 12 29:36 70
9 Bordeaux II 30 9 12 9 33:25 69
10 Pontivy 30 9 9 12 36:39 66
11 Viry-Chatillon 30 7 14 9 27:34 65
12 Romorantin 30 8 10 12 33:36 64
13 Fontenay 30 8 9 13 36:48 63
14 Cherbourg 30 8 9 13 27:43 63
15 Plabennec 30 6 10 14 28:42 58
16 Jeunesse Villenavaise 30 6 8 16 28:51 54
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