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Cherepovets vs FC Murom

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Abdullaev G.
49' Event
Asaydulin R.

AI Match Summary

FC Murom in this FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Murom.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Cherepovets
6%
Draws
90%
FC Murom
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FC Murom

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • FC Murom haven't matched Cherepovets's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on FC Murom taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Cherepovets Clean Sheet 10%
FC Murom Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cherepovets FC Murom
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 11
Draws 4 7
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.38 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Cherepovets vs FC Murom
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cherepovets Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

FC Murom Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdullaev G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Asaydulin R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cherepovets 10 / 100
FC Murom 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cherepovets FC Murom

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cherepovets scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

FC Murom's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

Cherepovets has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cherepovets VS FC Murom
1.38 Goals Scored 2.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 13%