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Cherepovets vs Iskra Smolensk

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Sun, Jul 26, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cherepovets host Iskra Smolensk in the FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2. This has Cherepovets written all over it on paper. Cherepovets have averaged 1.38 scored and 1.63 conceded recently, against Iskra Smolensk's 1 scored and 2 conceded. Past meetings favor Cherepovets slightly — 1-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 4, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.69 vs 1.31, favoring Cherepovets. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Cherepovets
33%
Draws
27%
Iskra Smolensk
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Cherepovets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Iskra Smolensk haven't matched Cherepovets's recent run of results.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Cherepovets taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Cherepovets Clean Sheet 18%
Iskra Smolensk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cherepovets Iskra Smolensk
Matches Played 32 15
Wins 15 2
Draws 4 4
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.38 1
Goals Conceded 1.63 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Iskra Smolensk vs Cherepovets
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cherepovets 40 / 100
Iskra Smolensk 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cherepovets Iskra Smolensk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SHE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iskra Smolensk let in goals in 93% of their last 15 matches.

Attacking prowess: Cherepovets scored in 78% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Iskra Smolensk registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cherepovets VS Iskra Smolensk
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cherepovets

(Home)
05 Jul
Luki-Energiya
3 : 0
Cherepovets
28 Jun
Cherepovets
0 : 2
Zvezda St Peterburg
21 Jun
Vladimir
1 : 0
Cherepovets
14 Jun
Cherepovets
1 : 2
FC Irkutsk
07 Jun
Dynamo Vologda
2 : 2
Cherepovets
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Iskra Smolensk

(Away)
04 Jul
Iskra Smolensk
2 : 4
FK Tver
21 Jun
FC Murom
6 : 0
Iskra Smolensk
13 Jun
Iskra Smolensk
1 : 1
Luki-Energiya
06 Jun
Zvezda St Peterburg
1 : 1
Iskra Smolensk
30 May
Iskra Smolensk
0 : 1
Vladimir
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