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Cherepovets vs Iskra Smolensk Prediction & H2H Stats

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Kulkov K.
36' Event
Vasiliev M.
(Penalty)
57' Event
Kulkov K.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2 game between Cherepovets and Iskra Smolensk finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cherepovets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Cherepovets
15%
Draws
58%
Iskra Smolensk
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Iskra Smolensk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Iskra Smolensk haven't matched Cherepovets's recent run of results.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Iskra Smolensk taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Cherepovets Clean Sheet 18%
Iskra Smolensk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cherepovets Iskra Smolensk
Matches Played 30 26
Wins 12 6
Draws 5 6
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.4 0.92
Goals Conceded 1.53 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Cherepovets vs Iskra Smolensk
2:1
Apr 4, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Iskra Smolensk vs Cherepovets
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cherepovets Compare

Top Goalscorer Kulkov K.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Iskra Smolensk Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cherepovets 20 / 100
Iskra Smolensk 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cherepovets Iskra Smolensk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Iskra Smolensk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iskra Smolensk let in goals in 92% of their last 25 matches.

Attacking prowess: Cherepovets scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Cherepovets has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cherepovets VS Iskra Smolensk
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
2 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cherepovets

(Home)
27 Sept
Cherepovets
1 : 2
Dynamo Vologda
20 Sept
Baltika 2
1 : 4
Cherepovets
13 Sept
Cherepovets
3 : 2
Yenisey 2
06 Sept
FC Chertanovo Moscow
2 : 0
Cherepovets
30 Aug
Cherepovets
1 : 2
Kosmos
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Iskra Smolensk

(Away)
26 Sept
Iskra Smolensk
3 : 1
Zvezda St Peterburg
20 Sept
Vladimir
0 : 1
Iskra Smolensk
12 Sept
Iskra Smolensk
:
FC Irkutsk
06 Sept
Dynamo Vologda
2 : 3
Iskra Smolensk
29 Aug
Iskra Smolensk
1 : 1
Baltika 2
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