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Cherepovets vs Kosmos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Mikhaylovskiy R.
31' Event
Trofimov O.
(Penalty)
45' Event
Naumov M.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2 game between Cherepovets and Kosmos finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kosmos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Cherepovets
15%
Draws
42%
Kosmos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cherepovets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Kosmos's 1.33 goals per match outpaces what Cherepovets have produced (1.28).
  • Model gives Cherepovets a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Cherepovets Clean Sheet 16%
Kosmos Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cherepovets Kosmos
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 12
Draws 3 6
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.28 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Cherepovets vs Kosmos
1:2
May 11, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Kosmos vs Cherepovets
1:3
Aug 31, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Cherepovets vs Kosmos
2:0
May 12, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Kosmos vs Cherepovets
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cherepovets Compare

Top Goalscorer Mikhaylovskiy R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Kosmos Compare

Top Goalscorer Naumov M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cherepovets 41 / 100
Kosmos 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cherepovets Kosmos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kosmos has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: Cherepovets scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Cherepovets went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cherepovets VS Kosmos
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cherepovets

(Home)
11 Oct
Cherepovets
0 : 1
Vladimir
04 Oct
FC Irkutsk
:
Cherepovets
27 Sept
Cherepovets
1 : 2
Dynamo Vologda
20 Sept
Baltika 2
1 : 4
Cherepovets
13 Sept
Cherepovets
3 : 2
Yenisey 2
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Kosmos

(Away)
11 Oct
Kosmos
2 : 1
Dynamo Vologda
04 Oct
Baltika 2
1 : 2
Kosmos
27 Sept
Kosmos
3 : 0
Yenisey 2
21 Sept
FC Chertanovo Moscow
4 : 2
Kosmos
06 Sept
Kosmos
0 : 2
Dynamo Petersburg
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