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Cherepovets vs Luki-Energiya - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cherepovets host Luki-Energiya in the FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2. Cherepovets are expected to control this from the start. Cherepovets have averaged 1.31 scored and 1.47 conceded recently, against Luki-Energiya's 1.61 scored and 0.93 conceded. Head-to-head, Cherepovets have won 2 to Luki-Energiya's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 27, 2026, ending 4:1. xG projections (1.20 - 1.00) back Cherepovets to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Cherepovets
15%
Draws
42%
Luki-Energiya
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cherepovets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Luki-Energiya carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Cherepovets taking it.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Cherepovets Clean Sheet 20%
Luki-Energiya Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cherepovets Luki-Energiya
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 13 17
Draws 5 6
Losses 14 5
Goals Scored 1.31 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.47 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 27, 2026 Russian Cup
Luki-Energiya vs Cherepovets
4:1
Jul 5, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Luki-Energiya vs Cherepovets
3:0
Sep 14, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Cherepovets vs Luki-Energiya
1:0
Sep 10, 2025 Russian Cup
Luki-Energiya vs Cherepovets
2:4
May 25, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Luki-Energiya vs Cherepovets
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cherepovets 49 / 100
Luki-Energiya 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cherepovets Luki-Energiya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cherepovets Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Luki-Energiya has conceded goals in 85% of their last 27 outings.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Cherepovets's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Cherepovets went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cherepovets VS Luki-Energiya
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cherepovets

(Home)
11 Oct
Cherepovets
0 : 1
Vladimir
04 Oct
FC Irkutsk
:
Cherepovets
27 Sept
Cherepovets
1 : 2
Dynamo Vologda
20 Sept
Baltika 2
1 : 4
Cherepovets
13 Sept
Cherepovets
3 : 2
Yenisey 2
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Luki-Energiya

(Away)
11 Oct
FK Tver
2 : 1
Luki-Energiya
04 Oct
Luki-Energiya
2 : 1
Iskra Smolensk
27 Sept
FC Murom
2 : 0
Luki-Energiya
14 Sept
Zvezda St Peterburg
0 : 1
Luki-Energiya
10 Sept
Luki-Energiya
2 : 1
Ural
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