Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cherepovets vs Spartak Moscow 2

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Sun, Aug 9, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cherepovets host Spartak Moscow 2 in the FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Spartak Moscow 2 have shipped 1.5 goals a game lately, while Cherepovets have conceded 1.88 and scored 1.25. Past meetings favor Cherepovets slightly — 2-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 19, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.50, favoring Cherepovets. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Cherepovets
39%
Draws
31%
Spartak Moscow 2
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Spartak Moscow 2 haven't matched Cherepovets's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Cherepovets have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Cherepovets Clean Sheet 16%
Spartak Moscow 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cherepovets Spartak Moscow 2
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 16 8
Draws 4 5
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 1.25 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Spartak Moscow 2 vs Cherepovets
0:1
Jul 27, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Cherepovets vs Spartak Moscow 2
4:0
Apr 6, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Spartak Moscow 2 vs Cherepovets
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cherepovets 30 / 100
Spartak Moscow 2 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cherepovets Spartak Moscow 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SHE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spartak Moscow 2 let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Cherepovets scored in 79% of their last 33 games.

H2H data points to 2.67 goals as a typical output.

Spartak Moscow 2's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Cherepovets VS Spartak Moscow 2
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cherepovets

(Home)
26 Jul
Cherepovets
2 : 1
Iskra Smolensk
05 Jul
Luki-Energiya
3 : 0
Cherepovets
28 Jun
Cherepovets
0 : 2
Zvezda St Peterburg
21 Jun
Vladimir
1 : 0
Cherepovets
14 Jun
Cherepovets
1 : 2
FC Irkutsk
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Spartak Moscow 2

(Away)
05 Jul
Spartak Moscow 2
0 : 1
FC Murom
28 Jun
Spartak Moscow 2
0 : 2
Luki-Energiya
23 Jun
Zvezda St Peterburg
2 : 3
Spartak Moscow 2
14 Jun
Spartak Moscow 2
0 : 1
Vladimir
31 May
Spartak Moscow 2
1 : 2
Dynamo Vologda
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