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Stadium Background

Cherepovets vs Spartak Moscow 2

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Berezov D.
44'
Berezov D.
44'
Berezov D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Cherepovets
20%
Draws
36%
Spartak Moscow 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cherepovets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Spartak Moscow 2 haven't matched Cherepovets's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Cherepovets's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Cherepovets Clean Sheet 17%
Spartak Moscow 2 Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cherepovets Spartak Moscow 2
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 5 9
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.41 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Cherepovets vs Spartak Moscow 2
1:1
Apr 19, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Spartak Moscow 2 vs Cherepovets
0:1
Jul 27, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Cherepovets vs Spartak Moscow 2
4:0
Apr 6, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Spartak Moscow 2 vs Cherepovets
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cherepovets Compare

Top Goalscorer Berezov D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Spartak Moscow 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bykovskiy A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cherepovets 36 / 100
Spartak Moscow 2 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cherepovets Spartak Moscow 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Spartak Moscow 2 conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Cherepovets scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Cherepovets has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cherepovets VS Spartak Moscow 2
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
2 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cherepovets

(Home)
20 Sept
Baltika 2
1 : 4
Cherepovets
13 Sept
Cherepovets
3 : 2
Yenisey 2
06 Sept
FC Chertanovo Moscow
2 : 0
Cherepovets
30 Aug
Cherepovets
1 : 2
Kosmos
27 Aug
Luki-Energiya
4 : 1
Cherepovets
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Spartak Moscow 2

(Away)
17 Sept
Dynamo Vologda
0 : 0
Spartak Moscow 2
13 Sept
Spartak Moscow 2
2 : 3
Baltika 2
06 Sept
Yenisey 2
1 : 2
Spartak Moscow 2
30 Aug
Spartak Moscow 2
1 : 1
FC Chertanovo Moscow
23 Aug
Kosmos
1 : 0
Spartak Moscow 2
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