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Cherepovets vs Zvezda St Peterburg

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
Vislevskiy D.
76' Event
Kopitets M.

AI Match Summary

Zvezda St Peterburg in this FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zvezda St Peterburg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Cherepovets
33%
Draws
40%
Zvezda St Peterburg
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Zvezda St Peterburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cherepovets lately — more wins on the board than Zvezda St Peterburg.
  • Win probability leans Zvezda St Peterburg's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Cherepovets Clean Sheet 20%
Zvezda St Peterburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cherepovets Zvezda St Peterburg
Matches Played 34 31
Wins 17 7
Draws 4 14
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.5 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Cherepovets vs Zvezda St Peterburg
0:2
Nov 2, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Cherepovets vs Zvezda St Peterburg
2:2
Aug 20, 2025 Russian Cup
Cherepovets vs Zvezda St Peterburg
2:1
Mar 30, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Zvezda St Peterburg vs Cherepovets
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cherepovets Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Zvezda St Peterburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Vislevskiy D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kopitets M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cherepovets 28 / 100
Zvezda St Peterburg 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cherepovets Zvezda St Peterburg

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ZSP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zvezda St Peterburg has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Cherepovets scored in 79% of their last 34 games.

Cherepovets has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cherepovets VS Zvezda St Peterburg
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%