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Cherno More II vs Botev Novi Pazar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Bulgaria
Third League - North-East 
AI Match Summary
The Third League - North-East game between Cherno More II and Botev Novi Pazar finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
52%
35%
13%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Cherno More II
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Cherno More II come out ahead of Botev Novi Pazar on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Cherno More II's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Third League - North-East form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Cherno More II have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Cherno More II Clean Sheet 18%
Botev Novi Pazar Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cherno More II | Botev Novi Pazar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 16 | 8 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 8 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 2.07 | 1.32 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 26, 2026 Third League - North-East
Cherno More II vs Botev Novi Pazar
1:1
May 30, 2026 Third League - North-East
Cherno More II vs Botev Novi Pazar
3:1
Dec 7, 2025 Third League - North-East
Botev Novi Pazar vs Cherno More II
1:3
Mar 2, 2025 Third League - North-East
Cherno More II vs Botev Novi Pazar
2:0
Aug 25, 2024 Third League - North-East
Botev Novi Pazar vs Cherno More II
2:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cherno More II 85 / 100
Botev Novi Pazar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cherno More II Botev Novi Pazar
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Cherno More II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cherno More II scored in 80% of their last 30 games.
Games between these two average 3.40 goals.
Defensive concern: Botev Novi Pazar conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.
Recent resilience: Cherno More II stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Cherno More II VS Botev Novi Pazar
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Cherno More II
(Home) 10 Oct
Cherno More II
2 : 2 FK Riltzi
03 Oct
Svetkavitsa 2014
1 : 0 Cherno More II
26 Sept
Cherno More II
1 : 1 Botev Novi Pazar
20 Sept
Cherno More II
2 : 0 Olympic Varna
12 Sept
Cherno More II
3 : 1 Aksakovo
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Cherno More II
2 : 2 FK Riltzi
26 Sept
Cherno More II
1 : 1 Botev Novi Pazar
20 Sept
Cherno More II
2 : 0 Olympic Varna
12 Sept
Cherno More II
3 : 1 Aksakovo
29 Aug
Cherno More II
0 : 1 Chernomorets Balchik
Page 1 of 4
Botev Novi Pazar
(Away) 10 Oct
Olympic Varna
1 : 0 Botev Novi Pazar
03 Oct
Botev Novi Pazar
1 : 4 Vihren
26 Sept
Cherno More II
1 : 1 Botev Novi Pazar
19 Sept
Botev Novi Pazar
0 : 0 Chernomorets Balchik
13 Sept
Chernolomets
4 : 0 Botev Novi Pazar
Page 1 of 7
10 Oct
Olympic Varna
1 : 0 Botev Novi Pazar
26 Sept
Cherno More II
1 : 1 Botev Novi Pazar
13 Sept
Chernolomets
4 : 0 Botev Novi Pazar
22 Aug
Fratria II
3 : 6 Botev Novi Pazar
30 May
Cherno More II
3 : 1 Botev Novi Pazar
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ludogorets III | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 21:5 | 19 |
| 2 | Chernolomets | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 21:7 | 17 |
| 3 | Chernomorets Balchik | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12:5 | 17 |
| 4 | Volov Shumen | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 25:8 | 16 |
| 5 | Svetkavitsa 2014 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14:11 | 16 |
| 6 | Cherno More II | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:9 | 11 |
| 7 | Septemvri Tervel | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12:8 | 11 |
| 8 | Benkovski | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14:11 | 10 |
| 9 | Devnya 2005 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:14 | 10 |
| 10 | FK Riltzi | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10:17 | 10 |
| 11 | Botev Novi Pazar | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12:10 | 9 |
| 12 | Olympic Varna | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 16:21 | 9 |
| 13 | Fratria II | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 9:24 | 9 |
| 14 | Septemvri Dragoevo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:19 | 8 |
| 15 | Aksakovo | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 15:20 | 7 |
| 16 | Ustrem Donchevo | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 17:29 | 4 |
| 17 | Dorostol | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7:21 | 1 |
Promotion - Vtora liga 2027/2028 (Main)
