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Stadium Background

Cherno More II vs Chernolomets

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - North-East game between Cherno More II and Chernolomets finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cherno More II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Cherno More II
15%
Draws
45%
Chernolomets
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chernolomets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Chernolomets come out ahead of Cherno More II on wins alone.
  • Cherno More II are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Third League - North-East form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Cherno More II Clean Sheet 16%
Chernolomets Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cherno More II Chernolomets
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 15 16
Draws 5 4
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 2.04 2.29
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2026 Third League - North-East
Cherno More II vs Chernolomets
4:1
Apr 10, 2026 Third League - North-East
Cherno More II vs Chernolomets
1:3
Oct 5, 2025 Third League - North-East
Chernolomets vs Cherno More II
3:4
May 17, 2025 Third League - North-East
Chernolomets vs Cherno More II
2:1
Nov 17, 2024 Third League - North-East
Cherno More II vs Chernolomets
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cherno More II 48 / 100
Chernolomets 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cherno More II Chernolomets

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cherno More II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cherno More II scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Chernolomets's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.

Solid form: Cherno More II remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cherno More II VS Chernolomets
1.63 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cherno More II

(Home)
20 Sept
Cherno More II
2 : 0
Olympic Varna
12 Sept
Cherno More II
3 : 1
Aksakovo
29 Aug
Cherno More II
0 : 1
Chernomorets Balchik
26 Aug
Cherno More II
4 : 1
Chernolomets
22 Aug
Ludogorets III
2 : 1
Cherno More II
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Chernolomets

(Away)
19 Sept
Svetkavitsa 2014
0 : 1
Chernolomets
13 Sept
Chernolomets
4 : 0
Botev Novi Pazar
05 Sept
Olympic Varna
1 : 3
Chernolomets
29 Aug
Chernolomets
1 : 1
Aksakovo
26 Aug
Cherno More II
4 : 1
Chernolomets
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Volov Shumen 6 5 1 0 23:4 16
2 Svetkavitsa 2014 6 4 1 1 13:4 13
3 Ludogorets III 6 4 1 1 16:4 13
4 Chernomorets Balchik 5 3 2 0 9:4 11
5 Chernolomets 6 3 2 1 10:6 11
6 Benkovski 4 3 0 1 12:5 9
7 Cherno More II 5 3 0 2 10:5 9
8 FK Riltzi 6 3 0 3 8:9 9
9 Botev Novi Pazar 5 2 2 1 11:8 8
10 Septemvri Tervel 3 2 1 0 8:4 7
11 Septemvri Dragoevo 5 2 1 2 11:13 7
12 Olympic Varna 6 2 0 4 13:18 6
13 Devnya 2005 5 1 1 3 5:12 4
14 Fratria II 6 1 0 5 6:23 3
15 Aksakovo 5 0 1 4 6:18 1
16 Dorostol 5 0 1 4 3:15 1
17 Ustrem Donchevo 6 0 0 6 11:23 0
Promotion - Vtora liga 2027/2028 (Main)