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Cherno More II vs Devnya 2005 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cherno More II host Devnya 2005 in the Third League - North-East. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Cherno More II have averaged 1.97 scored and 1.28 conceded recently, against Devnya 2005's 1.11 scored and 1.67 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 1.19, favoring Cherno More II. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Cherno More II
20%
Draws
51%
Devnya 2005
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Devnya 2005

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cherno More II lately — more wins on the board than Devnya 2005.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Third League - North-East form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Cherno More II Clean Sheet 20%
Devnya 2005 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cherno More II Devnya 2005
Matches Played 29 9
Wins 15 4
Draws 5 0
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 1.97 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cherno More II 32 / 100
Devnya 2005 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cherno More II Devnya 2005

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cherno More II found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Devnya 2005 conceded in 67% of 9 recent games.

Cherno More II went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Devnya 2005 registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cherno More II VS Devnya 2005
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cherno More II

(Home)
18 Oct
Volov Shumen
2 : 1
Cherno More II
10 Oct
Cherno More II
2 : 2
FK Riltzi
03 Oct
Svetkavitsa 2014
1 : 0
Cherno More II
26 Sept
Cherno More II
1 : 1
Botev Novi Pazar
20 Sept
Cherno More II
2 : 0
Olympic Varna
Page 1 of 6

Devnya 2005

(Away)
17 Oct
Devnya 2005
0 : 3
Ludogorets III
10 Oct
Septemvri Dragoevo
0 : 2
Devnya 2005
03 Oct
Devnya 2005
2 : 1
Ustrem Donchevo
26 Sept
Fratria II
1 : 0
Devnya 2005
19 Sept
Devnya 2005
3 : 0
Dorostol
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ludogorets III 10 8 1 1 25:5 25
2 Volov Shumen 10 7 1 2 29:10 22
3 Chernomorets Balchik 9 6 2 1 15:7 20
4 Svetkavitsa 2014 10 6 1 3 17:11 19
5 Chernolomets 10 5 3 2 22:9 18
6 Septemvri Tervel 8 4 3 1 13:8 15
7 Benkovski 8 4 1 3 16:12 13
8 Botev Novi Pazar 8 3 3 2 14:10 12
9 Devnya 2005 9 4 0 5 10:15 12
10 Cherno More II 9 3 2 4 14:11 11
11 Septemvri Dragoevo 10 3 2 5 13:21 11
12 FK Riltzi 9 3 1 5 10:20 10
13 Olympic Varna 9 3 0 6 16:24 9
14 Fratria II 9 3 0 6 10:26 9
15 Aksakovo 7 2 1 4 15:20 7
16 Ustrem Donchevo 10 2 1 7 19:30 7
17 Dorostol 9 0 0 9 5:24 0
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