Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cherno More II vs Lokomotiv Ruse Prediction & H2H Stats

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Third League - North-East 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Cherno More II
15%
Draws
20%
Lokomotiv Ruse
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cherno More II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Cherno More II have won more games recently than Lokomotiv Ruse.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Cherno More II taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Cherno More II Clean Sheet 19%
Lokomotiv Ruse Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cherno More II Lokomotiv Ruse
Matches Played 36 29
Wins 20 3
Draws 9 6
Losses 7 20
Goals Scored 2.14 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.11 2.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2024 Third League - North-East
Cherno More II vs Lokomotiv Ruse
1:1
Sep 2, 2023 Third League - North-East
Lokomotiv Ruse vs Cherno More II
0:1
Jun 3, 2023 Third League - North-East
Cherno More II vs Lokomotiv Ruse
1:1
Nov 26, 2022 Third League - North-East
Lokomotiv Ruse vs Cherno More II
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cherno More II 85 / 100
Lokomotiv Ruse 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cherno More II Lokomotiv Ruse

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cherno More II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cherno More II found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (36 games).

Lokomotiv Ruse has conceded goals in 93% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Cherno More II has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cherno More II VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cherno More II

(Home)
26 Sept
Cherno More II
1 : 1
Botev Novi Pazar
20 Sept
Cherno More II
2 : 0
Olympic Varna
12 Sept
Cherno More II
3 : 1
Aksakovo
29 Aug
Cherno More II
0 : 1
Chernomorets Balchik
26 Aug
Cherno More II
4 : 1
Chernolomets
Page 1 of 8

Lokomotiv Ruse

(Away)
01 Jun
Kubrat
2 : 1
Lokomotiv Ruse
26 May
Lokomotiv Ruse
0 : 4
Septemvri Tervel
18 May
Chernolomets
6 : 2
Lokomotiv Ruse
01 May
Fratria
5 : 1
Lokomotiv Ruse
27 Apr
Lokomotiv Ruse
2 : 1
Ustrem Donchevo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ludogorets III 26 19 4 3 69:16 61
2 Fratria 26 19 4 3 71:20 61
3 Septemvri Tervel 26 18 4 4 52:19 58
4 Cherno More II 26 16 8 2 49:17 56
5 Chernolomets 26 17 2 7 54:31 53
6 Spartak Varna II 26 16 2 8 66:27 50
7 Benkovski 26 11 2 13 48:45 35
8 Dorostol 26 10 4 12 36:50 34
9 FK Riltzi 26 9 6 11 40:45 33
10 Ustrem Donchevo 26 7 4 15 36:58 25
11 Svetkavitsa 26 4 7 15 26:54 19
12 Dunav Ruse II 26 4 4 18 26:64 16
13 Lokomotiv Ruse 26 2 5 19 22:73 11
14 Kubrat 26 2 0 24 10:86 6
15 Shumen 2007 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Sportist Toshevo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Vtora liga 2024/2025 (Main)