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Stadium Background

Cherno More II vs Olympic Varna

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cherno More II play Olympic Varna in the Third League - North-East. It looks like a close match. Recently, Cherno More II averaged 2.07 goals scored and 1.37 conceded. Olympic Varna averaged 1.77 goals scored and 2.53 conceded. In past meetings, Cherno More II won 1, Olympic Varna won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 28, 2026 ended 3:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.50 for Cherno More II and 1.06 for Olympic Varna. This points to a Cherno More II double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Cherno More II
22%
Draws
27%
Olympic Varna
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Cherno More II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • Cherno More II picked up more points recently compared to Olympic Varna.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.50 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 73%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Cherno More II Clean Sheet 22%
Olympic Varna Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 85%
Second Half Goal 89%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cherno More II Olympic Varna
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 9
Draws 7 6
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 2.07 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.37 2.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 3.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Third League - North-East
Cherno More II vs Olympic Varna
3:3
Sep 20, 2025 Third League - North-East
Olympic Varna vs Cherno More II
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cherno More II 50 / 100
Olympic Varna 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cherno More II Olympic Varna

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Cherno More II or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +18.8%
2.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.49
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Cherno More II attacking → ← attacking Olympic Varna

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cherno More II scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Olympic Varna let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Cherno More II went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Olympic Varna lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

52 Points in last 5 33
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Chernomorets Balchik32274192:1485
2Ludogorets III322543101:1979
3Septemvri Tervel32253489:2278
4Volov Shumen32233693:2872
5Chernolomets32203978:4363
6Benkovski32186868:4060
7Cherno More II32167965:4455
8Ustrem Donchevo321731273:6754
9Olympic Varna321061658:8036
10Aksakovo32941940:6831
11Fratria II32861840:7130
12Svetkavitsa 201432781726:4829
13Botev Novi Pazar32851934:6929
14Dorostol32842029:6728
15Spartak Varna II32752042:7226
16FK Riltzi32642231:8322
17Svetkavitsa3201315:1291