Sport Picks

Bulgaria

Third League - North-East

Cherno More II

5 - 0

Svetkavitsa 2014

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Third League - North-East game between Cherno More II and Svetkavitsa 2014 finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cherno More II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%

Cherno More II

22%

Draws

18%

Svetkavitsa 2014

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Cherno More II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Cherno More II come out ahead of Svetkavitsa 2014 on wins alone.
Model gives Cherno More II a 60% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%

Cherno More II Clean Sheet 20%

Svetkavitsa 2014 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Cherno More II	Svetkavitsa 2014
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	15	6
Draws	7	8
Losses	8	16
Goals Scored	1.25	0.88
Goals Conceded	1.25	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Third League - North-East

Svetkavitsa 2014 vs Cherno More II

Possession: 41% - 52% Cards: 3 - 3

0:0

Nov 30, 2025 Third League - North-East

Cherno More II vs Svetkavitsa 2014

Possession: 56% - 42% Cards: 0 - 1

5:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cherno More II 58 / 100

Svetkavitsa 2014 18 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Cherno More II Svetkavitsa 2014

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHE Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cherno More II found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Svetkavitsa 2014 conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Cherno More II has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cherno More II VS Svetkavitsa 2014

1.25 Goals Scored 0.88

1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5

88% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Chernomorets Balchik	32	27	4	1	92:14	85
2	Ludogorets III	32	25	4	3	101:19	79
3	Septemvri Tervel	32	25	3	4	89:22	78
4	Volov Shumen	32	23	3	6	93:28	72
5	Chernolomets	32	20	3	9	78:43	63
6	Benkovski	32	18	6	8	68:40	60
7	Cherno More II	32	16	7	9	65:44	55
8	Ustrem Donchevo	32	17	3	12	73:67	54
9	Olympic Varna	32	10	6	16	58:80	36
10	Aksakovo	32	9	4	19	40:68	31
11	Fratria II	32	8	6	18	40:71	30
12	Svetkavitsa 2014	32	7	8	17	26:48	29
13	Botev Novi Pazar	32	8	5	19	34:69	29
14	Dorostol	32	8	4	20	29:67	28
15	Spartak Varna II	32	7	5	20	42:72	26
16	FK Riltzi	32	6	4	22	31:83	22
17	Svetkavitsa	32	0	1	31	5:129	1