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Cherno More vs Botev Vratsa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

efbet League Ticha, Varna
Mon, Nov 2, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cherno More host Botev Vratsa in the efbet League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Cherno More have averaged 0.96 scored and 1.61 conceded recently, against Botev Vratsa's 1.19 scored and 1.37 conceded. Head-to-head, Cherno More have won 2 to Botev Vratsa's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Jul 19, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.50, favoring Botev Vratsa. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Cherno More
35%
Draws
32%
Botev Vratsa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Botev Vratsa come out ahead of Cherno More on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular efbet League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Cherno More Clean Sheet 16%
Botev Vratsa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cherno More Botev Vratsa
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 8 9
Draws 8 9
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 0.96 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2026 efbet League
Botev Vratsa vs Cherno More
1:1
Feb 20, 2026 efbet League
Cherno More vs Botev Vratsa
0:0
Aug 29, 2025 efbet League
Botev Vratsa vs Cherno More
1:0
Dec 7, 2024 efbet League
Botev Vratsa vs Cherno More
2:3
Aug 12, 2024 efbet League
Cherno More vs Botev Vratsa
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cherno More 31 / 100
Botev Vratsa 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cherno More Botev Vratsa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cherno More scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Botev Vratsa has conceded goals in 78% of their last 27 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Cherno More stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cherno More VS Botev Vratsa
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cherno More

(Home)
04 Oct
Ludogorets
5 : 0
Cherno More
26 Sept
Cherno More
1 : 0
Dunav Ruse
19 Sept
Arda
1 : 1
Cherno More
11 Sept
Cherno More
2 : 2
Lok. Sofia
06 Sept
Lok. Plovdiv
1 : 0
Cherno More
Page 1 of 6

Botev Vratsa

(Away)
10 Oct
Botev Vratsa
0 : 1
Spartak Varna
03 Oct
Slavia Sofia
2 : 1
Botev Vratsa
19 Sept
Dunav Ruse
2 : 2
Botev Vratsa
13 Sept
Botev Vratsa
0 : 0
Levski Sofia
04 Sept
Septemvri Sofia
2 : 3
Botev Vratsa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levski Sofia 9 8 1 0 21:4 25
2 CSKA Sofia 10 7 3 0 24:7 24
3 Ludogorets 9 7 2 0 16:7 23
4 CSKA 1948 Sofia 10 7 1 2 19:10 22
5 Botev Plovdiv 11 6 1 4 17:14 19
6 Arda 10 5 2 3 15:12 17
7 Spartak Varna 11 3 4 4 11:15 13
8 Slavia Sofia 11 2 5 4 9:9 11
9 Botev Vratsa 11 2 3 6 9:20 9
10 Lok. Plovdiv 11 2 2 7 6:14 8
11 Lok. Sofia 11 1 5 5 12:19 8
12 Septemvri Sofia 10 2 2 6 8:18 8
13 Cherno More 10 1 3 6 11:20 6
14 Dunav Ruse 10 1 2 7 10:19 5
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