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Cherno More vs Dunav Ruse Prediction & H2H Stats

Bulgaria Bulgaria

efbet League Ticha, Varna
Our Tip

Match Events

34'
Kerchev V.
44'
Alves A.
55' Event
Teles D.

AI Match Summary

Cherno More in this efbet League matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cherno More.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Cherno More
35%
Draws
19%
Dunav Ruse
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Cherno More

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cherno More lately — more wins on the board than Dunav Ruse.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Cherno More taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Cherno More Clean Sheet 68%
Dunav Ruse Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cherno More Dunav Ruse
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 5
Draws 8 12
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.07 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 efbet League
Cherno More vs Dunav Ruse
3:1
Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Cherno More vs Dunav Ruse
1:1
Feb 1, 2025 Club Friendly
Cherno More vs Dunav Ruse
2:1
Jul 10, 2024 Club Friendly
Cherno More vs Dunav Ruse
4:0
Feb 7, 2024 Club Friendly
Cherno More vs Dunav Ruse
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cherno More Compare

Top Goalscorer Teles D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Squadrone L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Dunav Ruse Compare

Top Goalscorer Keita I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cherno More 59 / 100
Dunav Ruse 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cherno More Dunav Ruse

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cherno More Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cherno More's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Dunav Ruse let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Cherno More stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cherno More VS Dunav Ruse
1 Goals Scored 0.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cherno More

(Home)
26 Sept
Cherno More
1 : 0
Dunav Ruse
19 Sept
Arda
1 : 1
Cherno More
11 Sept
Cherno More
2 : 2
Lok. Sofia
06 Sept
Lok. Plovdiv
1 : 0
Cherno More
30 Aug
CSKA Sofia
3 : 1
Cherno More
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Dunav Ruse

(Away)
26 Sept
Cherno More
1 : 0
Dunav Ruse
19 Sept
Dunav Ruse
2 : 2
Botev Vratsa
12 Sept
CSKA 1948 Sofia
2 : 1
Dunav Ruse
07 Sept
Dunav Ruse
0 : 1
Slavia Sofia
31 Aug
Dunav Ruse
2 : 2
Lok. Sofia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levski Sofia 9 8 1 0 21:4 25
2 CSKA Sofia 10 7 3 0 24:7 24
3 Ludogorets 9 7 2 0 16:7 23
4 CSKA 1948 Sofia 10 7 1 2 19:10 22
5 Arda 10 5 2 3 15:12 17
6 Botev Plovdiv 10 5 1 4 16:14 16
7 Slavia Sofia 10 2 5 3 9:8 11
8 Spartak Varna 10 2 4 4 10:15 10
9 Botev Vratsa 10 2 3 5 9:19 9
10 Septemvri Sofia 10 2 2 6 8:18 8
11 Lok. Sofia 10 1 4 5 11:18 7
12 Lok. Plovdiv 10 2 1 7 5:13 7
13 Cherno More 10 1 3 6 11:20 6
14 Dunav Ruse 10 1 2 7 10:19 5
Promotion - efbet League (Championship Group)
Promotion - efbet League (Conference League Group)
Relegation - efbet League (Relegation Group)