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Cherno More vs Dunav Ruse - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Padilla J.

AI Match Summary

Cherno More in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cherno More.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Cherno More
35%
Draws
19%
Dunav Ruse
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Cherno More

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Cherno More have won more games recently than Dunav Ruse.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Cherno More here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Cherno More Clean Sheet 16%
Dunav Ruse Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cherno More Dunav Ruse
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 8 3
Draws 8 12
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 0.96 0.85
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Club Friendly
Cherno More vs Dunav Ruse
1:0
Aug 21, 2026 efbet League
Cherno More vs Dunav Ruse
3:1
Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Cherno More vs Dunav Ruse
1:1
Feb 1, 2025 Club Friendly
Cherno More vs Dunav Ruse
2:1
Jul 10, 2024 Club Friendly
Cherno More vs Dunav Ruse
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cherno More Compare

Top Goalscorer Padilla J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Dunav Ruse Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cherno More 31 / 100
Dunav Ruse 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cherno More Dunav Ruse

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cherno More scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Dunav Ruse has conceded goals in 78% of their last 27 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Cherno More went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cherno More VS Dunav Ruse
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cherno More

(Home)
04 Oct
Ludogorets
5 : 0
Cherno More
26 Sept
Cherno More
1 : 0
Dunav Ruse
19 Sept
Arda
1 : 1
Cherno More
11 Sept
Cherno More
2 : 2
Lok. Sofia
06 Sept
Lok. Plovdiv
1 : 0
Cherno More
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Dunav Ruse

(Away)
03 Oct
Ludogorets II
1 : 1
Dunav Ruse
26 Sept
Cherno More
1 : 0
Dunav Ruse
19 Sept
Dunav Ruse
2 : 2
Botev Vratsa
12 Sept
CSKA 1948 Sofia
2 : 1
Dunav Ruse
07 Sept
Dunav Ruse
0 : 1
Slavia Sofia
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