Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cherno More vs Fratria

World World

Club Friendly
Tue, Jan 20, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cherno More host Fratria in the Club Friendly. Little to choose between these two on current form. Fratria have shipped 1.04 goals a game lately, while Cherno More have conceded 1.38 and scored 1.03. Past meetings favor Fratria slightly — 0-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 20, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (0.94 - 1.88) back Fratria to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Cherno More
35%
Draws
42%
Fratria
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Fratria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fratria come out ahead of Cherno More on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Cherno More Clean Sheet 10%
Fratria Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cherno More Fratria
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 11
Draws 9 14
Losses 11 3
Goals Scored 1.03 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 20, 2026 Club Friendly
Cherno More vs Fratria
0:0
Jul 10, 2024 Club Friendly
Cherno More vs Fratria
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cherno More 34 / 100
Fratria 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cherno More Fratria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fratria Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cherno More found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Fratria's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Solid form: Cherno More remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 0.50 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Cherno More VS Fratria
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cherno More

(Home)
19 Sept
Arda
1 : 1
Cherno More
11 Sept
Cherno More
2 : 2
Lok. Sofia
06 Sept
Lok. Plovdiv
1 : 0
Cherno More
30 Aug
CSKA Sofia
3 : 1
Cherno More
21 Aug
Cherno More
3 : 1
Dunav Ruse
Page 1 of 6

Fratria

(Away)
20 Sept
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1 : 2
Fratria
15 Sept
Ludogorets II
1 : 1
Fratria
07 Sept
Fratria
2 : 2
Chernomorets 1919
01 Sept
Hebar
1 : 1
Fratria
29 Aug
Fratria
1 : 0
CSKA Sofia II
Page 1 of 6