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Cherno More vs Fratria

World World

Club Friendly
Tue, Jan 20, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cherno More host Fratria in the Club Friendly. Little to choose between these two on current form. Fratria have shipped 0.88 goals a game lately, while Cherno More have conceded 1 and scored 1.13. Past meetings favor Fratria slightly — 0-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 20, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.00 - 1.31) back Fratria to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Cherno More
33%
Draws
40%
Fratria
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Fratria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cherno More come out ahead of Fratria on wins alone.
  • Fratria are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Cherno More Clean Sheet 18%
Fratria Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cherno More Fratria
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 11 10
Draws 10 11
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.13 1.63
Goals Conceded 1 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 20, 2026 Club Friendly
Cherno More vs Fratria
0:0
Jul 10, 2024 Club Friendly
Cherno More vs Fratria
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cherno More 28 / 100
Fratria 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cherno More Fratria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FRA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Cherno More remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Cherno More's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Fratria conceded in 70% of 27 recent games.

H2H data points to 0.50 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Cherno More VS Fratria
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cherno More

(Home)
19 Jul
Botev Vratsa
1 : 1
Cherno More
11 Jul
Cherno More
1 : 1
Dunav Ruse
08 Jul
Cherno More
2 : 2
Dobrudzha
08 Jul
Farul Constanta
0 : 1
Cherno More
03 Jul
Cherno More
1 : 0
Spartak Pleven
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Fratria

(Away)
10 Jul
Yantra Gabrovo
1 : 1
Fratria
04 Jul
Gorna
1 : 2
Fratria
27 Jun
Farul Constanta
1 : 1
Fratria
23 May
Fratria
3 : 0
Pirin Blagoevgrad
15 May
Belasitsa Petrich
0 : 3
Fratria
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