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Cherno More vs Lok. Plovdiv - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Pro Cup Ticha, Varna
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Cherno More
30%
Draws
37%
Lok. Plovdiv
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lok. Plovdiv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Cherno More haven't matched Lok. Plovdiv's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Lok. Plovdiv's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Lok. Plovdiv arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Lok. Plovdiv, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Cherno More Clean Sheet 18%
Lok. Plovdiv Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cherno More Lok. Plovdiv
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 11
Draws 8 5
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 21, 2026 Pro Cup
Cherno More vs Lok. Plovdiv
0:1
Sep 6, 2026 efbet League
Lok. Plovdiv vs Cherno More
1:0
May 12, 2026 efbet League
Cherno More vs Lok. Plovdiv
2:0
Apr 26, 2026 efbet League
Lok. Plovdiv vs Cherno More
0:1
Feb 15, 2026 efbet League
Lok. Plovdiv vs Cherno More
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cherno More 20 / 100
Lok. Plovdiv 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cherno More Lok. Plovdiv

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lok. Plovdiv Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cherno More's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Lok. Plovdiv's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

Solid form: Cherno More remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Cherno More VS Lok. Plovdiv
1 Goals Scored 0.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cherno More

(Home)
17 Oct
Marek
0 : 3
Cherno More
11 Oct
Cherno More
0 : 2
Levski Sofia
04 Oct
Ludogorets
5 : 0
Cherno More
26 Sept
Cherno More
1 : 0
Dunav Ruse
19 Sept
Arda
1 : 1
Cherno More
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Lok. Plovdiv

(Away)
16 Oct
Yantra Gabrovo
0 : 2
Lok. Plovdiv
10 Oct
Lok. Sofia
1 : 1
Lok. Plovdiv
02 Oct
Lok. Plovdiv
2 : 0
Arda
20 Sept
Lok. Plovdiv
1 : 1
CSKA Sofia
13 Sept
Botev Plovdiv
2 : 0
Lok. Plovdiv
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Levski Sofia -
Arda -
Cherno More -
Lok. Plovdiv -
CSKA Sofia -
CSKA 1948 Sofia -
Botev Plovdiv 2
Botev Vratsa 0
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Botev Plovdiv -
Final
TBD -
TBD -