Sport Picks
Cherno More vs Septemvri Sofia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Bulgaria
efbet League Ticha, Varna 
AI Match Summary
Cherno More host Septemvri Sofia in the efbet League. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Cherno More at 0.97 goals for, 1.55 against; Septemvri Sofia at 1.04 for, 1.36 against. Head-to-head, Cherno More have won 4 to Septemvri Sofia's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 7, 2026, ending 0:3. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.38, favoring Cherno More. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Septemvri Sofia at 1.04 per game, Cherno More at 0.97.
- Cherno More are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- Regular efbet League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Cherno More have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cherno More | Septemvri Sofia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 9 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 12 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 1.04 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.55 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cherno More's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Septemvri Sofia let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Cherno More stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Cherno More
(Home)Septemvri Sofia
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Levski Sofia | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 21:4 | 25 |
| 2 | CSKA Sofia | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 24:7 | 24 |
| 3 | Ludogorets | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 16:7 | 23 |
| 4 | CSKA 1948 Sofia | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 19:10 | 22 |
| 5 | Arda | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15:12 | 17 |
| 6 | Botev Plovdiv | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 16:14 | 16 |
| 7 | Slavia Sofia | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 8 | Spartak Varna | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10:15 | 10 |
| 9 | Botev Vratsa | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9:19 | 9 |
| 10 | Septemvri Sofia | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8:18 | 8 |
| 11 | Lok. Sofia | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 12 | Lok. Plovdiv | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5:13 | 7 |
| 13 | Cherno More | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11:20 | 6 |
| 14 | Dunav Ruse | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10:19 | 5 |
