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Cherno More vs Spartak Pleven Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Lazarov G.
73' Event
Panayotov V.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

Cherno More in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cherno More.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Cherno More
20%
Draws
44%
Spartak Pleven
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Spartak Pleven

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cherno More lately — more wins on the board than Spartak Pleven.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Cherno More taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Cherno More here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Cherno More Clean Sheet 16%
Spartak Pleven Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cherno More Spartak Pleven
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 10 9
Draws 8 4
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.07 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2026 Club Friendly
Cherno More vs Spartak Pleven
1:0
Jun 26, 2025 Club Friendly
Cherno More vs Spartak Pleven
2:0
Jun 22, 2023 Club Friendly
Cherno More vs Spartak Pleven
5:0
May 25, 2002 efbet League
Cherno More vs Spartak Pleven
2:0
Apr 28, 2002 efbet League
Spartak Pleven vs Cherno More
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cherno More Compare

Top Goalscorer Lazarov G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Spartak Pleven Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cherno More 75 / 100
Spartak Pleven 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cherno More Spartak Pleven

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cherno More Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cherno More found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Spartak Pleven conceded in 74% of 27 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Cherno More remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cherno More VS Spartak Pleven
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cherno More

(Home)
26 Sept
Cherno More
1 : 0
Dunav Ruse
19 Sept
Arda
1 : 1
Cherno More
11 Sept
Cherno More
2 : 2
Lok. Sofia
06 Sept
Lok. Plovdiv
1 : 0
Cherno More
30 Aug
CSKA Sofia
3 : 1
Cherno More
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Spartak Pleven

(Away)
27 Sept
Fratria
3 : 0
Spartak Pleven
21 Sept
Spartak Pleven
1 : 0
Ludogorets II
13 Sept
Chernomorets 1919
3 : 0
Spartak Pleven
07 Sept
Spartak Pleven
3 : 2
Hebar
03 Sept
CSKA Sofia II
5 : 1
Spartak Pleven
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