Sport Picks
Chernolomets vs Aksakovo Prediction & H2H Stats
Bulgaria
Third League - North-East 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
Chernolomets in this Third League - North-East 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chernolomets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
61%
20%
19%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chernolomets
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
61%
/ High Confidence
- Aksakovo haven't matched Chernolomets's recent run of results.
- 61% — that's where the model lands on Chernolomets taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Chernolomets here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Chernolomets Clean Sheet 20%
Aksakovo Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chernolomets | Aksakovo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 17 | 9 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 8 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 2.41 | 1.45 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.31 | 2.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.44 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 Third League - North-East
Chernolomets vs Aksakovo
1:1
May 9, 2026 Third League - North-East
Chernolomets vs Aksakovo
3:0
Nov 8, 2025 Third League - North-East
Aksakovo vs Chernolomets
0:4
Apr 6, 2025 Third League - North-East
Aksakovo vs Chernolomets
1:2
Sep 28, 2024 Third League - North-East
Chernolomets vs Aksakovo
4:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chernolomets 85 / 100
Aksakovo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chernolomets Aksakovo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Chernolomets Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chernolomets found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).
Aksakovo let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Chernolomets remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Chernolomets VS Aksakovo
2 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Chernolomets
(Home) 26 Sept
Chernolomets
6 : 0 FK Riltzi
19 Sept
Svetkavitsa 2014
0 : 1 Chernolomets
13 Sept
Chernolomets
4 : 0 Botev Novi Pazar
05 Sept
Olympic Varna
1 : 3 Chernolomets
29 Aug
Chernolomets
1 : 1 Aksakovo
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Chernolomets
6 : 0 FK Riltzi
13 Sept
Chernolomets
4 : 0 Botev Novi Pazar
29 Aug
Chernolomets
1 : 1 Aksakovo
22 Aug
Chernolomets
0 : 0 Chernomorets Balchik
30 May
Chernolomets
3 : 0 Dorostol
Page 1 of 3
Aksakovo
(Away) 26 Sept
Aksakovo
3 : 2 Olympic Varna
12 Sept
Cherno More II
3 : 1 Aksakovo
05 Sept
Aksakovo
1 : 4 Chernomorets Balchik
29 Aug
Chernolomets
1 : 1 Aksakovo
26 Aug
Ludogorets III
6 : 1 Aksakovo
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Cherno More II
3 : 1 Aksakovo
29 Aug
Chernolomets
1 : 1 Aksakovo
26 Aug
Ludogorets III
6 : 1 Aksakovo
22 Aug
Septemvri Dragoevo
4 : 2 Aksakovo
30 May
Chernomorets Balchik
3 : 0 Aksakovo
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chernomorets Balchik | 32 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 92:14 | 85 |
| 2 | Ludogorets III | 32 | 25 | 4 | 3 | 101:19 | 79 |
| 3 | Septemvri Tervel | 32 | 25 | 3 | 4 | 89:22 | 78 |
| 4 | Volov Shumen | 32 | 23 | 3 | 6 | 93:28 | 72 |
| 5 | Chernolomets | 32 | 20 | 3 | 9 | 78:43 | 63 |
| 6 | Benkovski | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 68:40 | 60 |
| 7 | Cherno More II | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 65:44 | 55 |
| 8 | Ustrem Donchevo | 32 | 17 | 3 | 12 | 73:67 | 54 |
| 9 | Olympic Varna | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 58:80 | 36 |
| 10 | Aksakovo | 32 | 9 | 4 | 19 | 40:68 | 31 |
| 11 | Fratria II | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 40:71 | 30 |
| 12 | Svetkavitsa 2014 | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 26:48 | 29 |
| 13 | Botev Novi Pazar | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34:69 | 29 |
| 14 | Dorostol | 32 | 8 | 4 | 20 | 29:67 | 28 |
| 15 | Spartak Varna II | 32 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 42:72 | 26 |
| 16 | FK Riltzi | 32 | 6 | 4 | 22 | 31:83 | 22 |
| 17 | Svetkavitsa | 32 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 5:129 | 1 |
Promotion - Vtora liga 2025/2026 (Main)
