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Chernolomets vs Devnya 2005 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chernolomets host Devnya 2005 in the Third League - North-East. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Devnya 2005 have shipped 1.67 goals a game lately, while Chernolomets have conceded 1.17 and scored 2.47. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 2.06 vs 1.06, favoring Chernolomets. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Chernolomets
15%
Draws
40%
Devnya 2005
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chernolomets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Chernolomets have won more games recently than Devnya 2005.
  • Win probability leans Chernolomets's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Chernolomets Clean Sheet 20%
Devnya 2005 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chernolomets Devnya 2005
Matches Played 30 9
Wins 17 4
Draws 5 0
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 2.47 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chernolomets 85 / 100
Devnya 2005 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chernolomets Devnya 2005

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chernolomets Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chernolomets scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Devnya 2005 has conceded goals in 67% of their last 9 outings.

Chernolomets has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Devnya 2005 registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chernolomets VS Devnya 2005
2.63 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Chernolomets

(Home)
21 Oct
Volov Shumen
2 : 1
Chernolomets
17 Oct
Septemvri Tervel
0 : 0
Chernolomets
10 Oct
Chernolomets
5 : 1
Benkovski
26 Sept
Chernolomets
6 : 0
FK Riltzi
19 Sept
Svetkavitsa 2014
0 : 1
Chernolomets
Page 1 of 6

Devnya 2005

(Away)
17 Oct
Devnya 2005
0 : 3
Ludogorets III
10 Oct
Septemvri Dragoevo
0 : 2
Devnya 2005
03 Oct
Devnya 2005
2 : 1
Ustrem Donchevo
26 Sept
Fratria II
1 : 0
Devnya 2005
19 Sept
Devnya 2005
3 : 0
Dorostol
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ludogorets III 10 8 1 1 25:5 25
2 Volov Shumen 10 7 1 2 29:10 22
3 Chernomorets Balchik 9 6 2 1 15:7 20
4 Svetkavitsa 2014 10 6 1 3 17:11 19
5 Chernolomets 10 5 3 2 22:9 18
6 Septemvri Tervel 8 4 3 1 13:8 15
7 Benkovski 8 4 1 3 16:12 13
8 Botev Novi Pazar 8 3 3 2 14:10 12
9 Devnya 2005 9 4 0 5 10:15 12
10 Cherno More II 9 3 2 4 14:11 11
11 Septemvri Dragoevo 10 3 2 5 13:21 11
12 FK Riltzi 9 3 1 5 10:20 10
13 Olympic Varna 9 3 0 6 16:24 9
14 Fratria II 9 3 0 6 10:26 9
15 Aksakovo 7 2 1 4 15:20 7
16 Ustrem Donchevo 10 2 1 7 19:30 7
17 Dorostol 9 0 0 9 5:24 0
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