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Chernolomets vs Fratria II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chernolomets host Fratria II in the Third League - North-East. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Chernolomets at 2.47 goals for, 1.17 against; Fratria II at 1.21 for, 2.69 against. Past meetings favor Chernolomets slightly — 4-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 29, 2026, ending 1:6. Model xG sits at 2.81 vs 1.00, favoring Chernolomets. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Chernolomets
15%
Draws
40%
Fratria II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chernolomets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Fratria II haven't matched Chernolomets's recent run of results.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Chernolomets taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Chernolomets have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Chernolomets Clean Sheet 20%
Fratria II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chernolomets Fratria II
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 17 8
Draws 5 4
Losses 8 17
Goals Scored 2.47 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.17 2.69
Expected Goals (xG) 2.81 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Third League - North-East
Fratria II vs Chernolomets
1:6
Sep 20, 2025 Third League - North-East
Chernolomets vs Fratria II
2:0
Mar 5, 2025 Third League - North-East
Chernolomets vs Fratria II
6:1
Sep 11, 2024 Third League - North-East
Fratria II vs Chernolomets
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chernolomets 85 / 100
Fratria II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chernolomets Fratria II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chernolomets Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chernolomets found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Fratria II conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 5.25 goals per match.

Chernolomets went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chernolomets VS Fratria II
2.63 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Chernolomets

(Home)
21 Oct
Volov Shumen
2 : 1
Chernolomets
17 Oct
Septemvri Tervel
0 : 0
Chernolomets
10 Oct
Chernolomets
5 : 1
Benkovski
26 Sept
Chernolomets
6 : 0
FK Riltzi
19 Sept
Svetkavitsa 2014
0 : 1
Chernolomets
Page 1 of 6

Fratria II

(Away)
17 Oct
Fratria II
1 : 2
Ustrem Donchevo
03 Oct
Dorostol
1 : 2
Fratria II
26 Sept
Fratria II
1 : 0
Devnya 2005
19 Sept
Septemvri Tervel
2 : 1
Fratria II
12 Sept
Fratria II
2 : 1
Benkovski
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ludogorets III 10 8 1 1 25:5 25
2 Volov Shumen 10 7 1 2 29:10 22
3 Chernomorets Balchik 9 6 2 1 15:7 20
4 Svetkavitsa 2014 10 6 1 3 17:11 19
5 Chernolomets 10 5 3 2 22:9 18
6 Septemvri Tervel 8 4 3 1 13:8 15
7 Benkovski 8 4 1 3 16:12 13
8 Botev Novi Pazar 8 3 3 2 14:10 12
9 Devnya 2005 9 4 0 5 10:15 12
10 Cherno More II 9 3 2 4 14:11 11
11 Septemvri Dragoevo 10 3 2 5 13:21 11
12 FK Riltzi 9 3 1 5 10:20 10
13 Olympic Varna 9 3 0 6 16:24 9
14 Fratria II 9 3 0 6 10:26 9
15 Aksakovo 7 2 1 4 15:20 7
16 Ustrem Donchevo 10 2 1 7 19:30 7
17 Dorostol 9 0 0 9 5:24 0
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