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Chernolomets vs Shumen 2007 Prediction & H2H Stats

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East 2023/2024
Sun, Oct 15, 2023
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chernolomets host Shumen 2007 in the Third League - North-East 2023/2024. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Chernolomets at 2.59 goals for, 1.22 against; Shumen 2007 at 0.8 for, 2.87 against. Head-to-head, Chernolomets have won 4 to Shumen 2007's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Oct 15, 2023, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 2.35 vs 1.06, favoring Chernolomets. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Chernolomets
20%
Draws
28%
Shumen 2007
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chernolomets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Chernolomets come out ahead of Shumen 2007 on wins alone.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Chernolomets taking it.
  • Regular Third League - North-East 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Chernolomets have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Chernolomets Clean Sheet 20%
Shumen 2007 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chernolomets Shumen 2007
Matches Played 32 15
Wins 20 3
Draws 4 1
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 2.59 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.22 2.87
Expected Goals (xG) 2.35 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 15, 2023 Third League - North-East
Chernolomets vs Shumen 2007
0:0
Jun 3, 2023 Third League - North-East
Chernolomets vs Shumen 2007
8:0
Nov 26, 2022 Third League - North-East
Shumen 2007 vs Chernolomets
1:2
Apr 17, 2022 Third League - North-East
Chernolomets vs Shumen 2007
3:1
Oct 9, 2021 Third League - North-East
Shumen 2007 vs Chernolomets
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chernolomets 85 / 100
Shumen 2007 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chernolomets Shumen 2007

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chernolomets Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chernolomets's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Shumen 2007 let in goals in 87% of their last 15 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Chernolomets has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chernolomets VS -
3.5 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Chernolomets

(Home)
26 Sept
Chernolomets
6 : 0
FK Riltzi
19 Sept
Svetkavitsa 2014
0 : 1
Chernolomets
13 Sept
Chernolomets
4 : 0
Botev Novi Pazar
05 Sept
Olympic Varna
1 : 3
Chernolomets
29 Aug
Chernolomets
1 : 1
Aksakovo
Page 1 of 7

Shumen 2007

(Away)
03 Jun
Chernolomets
8 : 0
Shumen 2007
21 May
Shumen 2007
3 : 2
Botev Novi Pazar
14 May
Dunav Ruse II
0 : 1
Shumen 2007
06 May
Shumen 2007
0 : 0
Dorostol
30 Apr
Ustrem Donchevo
4 : 1
Shumen 2007
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ludogorets III 26 19 4 3 69:16 61
2 Fratria 26 19 4 3 71:20 61
3 Septemvri Tervel 26 18 4 4 52:19 58
4 Cherno More II 26 16 8 2 49:17 56
5 Chernolomets 26 17 2 7 54:31 53
6 Spartak Varna II 26 16 2 8 66:27 50
7 Benkovski 26 11 2 13 48:45 35
8 Dorostol 26 10 4 12 36:50 34
9 FK Riltzi 26 9 6 11 40:45 33
10 Ustrem Donchevo 26 7 4 15 36:58 25
11 Svetkavitsa 26 4 7 15 26:54 19
12 Dunav Ruse II 26 4 4 18 26:64 16
13 Lokomotiv Ruse 26 2 5 19 22:73 11
14 Kubrat 26 2 0 24 10:86 6
15 Shumen 2007 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Sportist Toshevo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Vtora liga 2024/2025 (Main)